How to Watch
Time: 12:30 p.m. ET
Watch Online: WatchESPN
Spread: Indiana -10.5
Moneyline: Indiana -420 | Ole Miss +310
The Ole Miss Rebels are set to face the Indiana Hoosiers in the Outback Bowl. Lane Kiffin’s first year with the Rebels provided mixed results, but the offense was as high-flying and as dynamic as you’d come to expect with Kiffin teams. The Hoosiers meanwhile had a terrific year, playing extremely good football in the Big Ten Conference. They are without Michael Penix Jr., but still pose enough of a threat to be a huge favorite in this one.
Ole Miss holds the edge offensively by YPP, averaging 7.1 to Indiana’s 5.3 This is in part to a dynamic passing attack. They’ve thrown for under 200 yards just once all season, and have topped 300 or more passing yards on six separate occasions. They ran for 4.6 yards per carry this year, finding some strong success more often than they didn’t. IU’s offense dropped off dramatically after Penix Jr. got hurt and they just haven’t been the same since.
Where the Rebels absolutely do not hold the edge is on defense. They’ve had a putrid unit that could be susceptible to exploitation by the IU offense. Even with their struggles. the Hoosiers should be able to pick the Rebel defense apart with deftness. There has only been one instance all year where Ole Miss allowed less than 5.0 YPP, mostly proving to be a siev and an area where teams have just crushed them.