Last week: 11-1 straight up, 5-5 against the spread
This week's headlining game nationally is Oregon-Michigan State, and it's not close. That said, you could make a case for the SEC having the best set of games for any conference.
LSU-Mississippi State and Oklahoma-Tennessee are the clear two candidates for second-best game anywhere, while Vanderbilt's defense should keep the 3:30 game interesting for a while. Plus, South Carolina-Kentucky is a game where anything could happen. If this week gives us a double reverse where the second pitch is intercepted and returned the other way until the player drops the ball just before entering the end zone and it goes for a touchback, it's going to happen during Gamecocks-Wildcats.
As always, the lines come from the Yahoo pick 'em game.
Georgia (-20.5) over Vanderbilt 24-6
When I see UGA on the road here and I look at how vastly better the Vandy defense looked last week, this game screams cover for the Commodores. And yet, I keep thinking the number I pick for the Bulldogs is too low and the one for the 'Dores is too high. I'm going to go with my gut on the cover aspect more than on the score naming aspect. We'll see if it pays off.
Ole Miss (-28.5) over Fresno State 55-20
I know it's a new year, but: Fresno played three Power 5 teams last year and allowed over 50 to each of them.
Alabama (-35) over Middle Tennessee State 48-0
This is not going to be pretty. The talent disparity is frightening here.
Arkansas (-21.5) over Toledo 52-24
The Hogs will pull away eventually in this game, but Toledo is no joke. It's a pretty good mid-major and should provide some stiff resistance for a while.
Oklahoma (PK) over Tennessee 48-44
I blitzed through UT's game against Bowling Green yesterday, and man, the Vols' secondary is not good. If you can complete a pass between the numbers and sideline, you can average 20 yards a play against them. I think Oklahoma can complete those passes, but Tennessee has the firepower to keep up.
Missouri (-10.5) over Arkansas State 23-9
Taking a road favorite to cover is dicey, but it's less dicey when that road favorite has Kentrell Brothers.
Florida (-20.5) over East Carolina 30-20
I'm not yet ready to buy into UF as the kind of team that can just blowout a team as good as ECU. It will probably win, just as it did last December over the Pirates, but I'm not expecting a laugher like last week.
Texas A&M (-29) over Ball State 60-10
This line isn't remotely high enough. And if Myles Garrett and Daeshon Hall come out and play like they did last week, ten might be too many points for the Cardinals.
Kentucky (+7.5) over South Carolina 34-30
I generally stick with my preseason predictions for two, and often three, weeks into the season. I picked UK in this game back then, so I'm picking it now. I'm less confident about it, but I do think the 'Cats will move the ball and score. The Carolina offense's showing against UNC worries me, so even if I wasn't locked into a Kentucky pick, I might go with Big Blue anyway.
LSU (-4.5) over Mississippi State 32-29
I do think the Tigers will get the win here, but I'm nervous about it with their game from last week having been canceled. I'd have liked to see something at all from them before issuing this pick. So, I'm taking the points. Mississippi State fans will make the environment very hostile, and Brandon Harris in the middle of that is no sure thing.
Auburn over Jacksonville State 43-20