The eleventh-ranked, unbeaten Kentucky Wildcats head to Sanford Stadium to take on the top-ranked Georgia Bulldogs in the game that just might decide the SEC East. This is Georgia’s third consecutive top-25 game, and much like everyone else they’ve played since Clemson, it’s been smooth sailing. As for Kentucky, they’re off to their first 6-0 start since 1950 and are coming off a 42-21 beatdown of LSU, but that blowout has been a rarity this year as Kentucky’s previous four victories were all by one possession.
How to watch 11 Kentucky vs. 1 Georgia
Time: 3:30 PM EST
Stream: cbssports.com, CBS Sports App
(via DraftKings Sportsbook)
Spread: Kentucky +21.5 | Georgia -21.5
Moneyline: Kentucky +1000 | Georgia -2000
Over/Under: Over 44.5 (-105) | Under (-115)
Everything for Kentucky revolves around their offensive line and their playmakers figuring out Georgia’s defense. The upside is that Kentucky has a solid line and Will Levis, Wan’Dale Robinson, and Chris Rodriguez Jr. are all big time players. The downside is that whoever has tried to figure out Kirby Smart’s scheme this year has failed miserably.
As for Georgia, their defense has been virtually untouchable all year, but they suffered a huge blow this past week as West Virginia transfer Tykee Smith suffered a torn ACL and will be done for the year. Smith, who was coming off a foot injury, played his first game of the season just last week against Auburn. Despite losing a key piece, Georgia’s defense will still likely be as dominant as usual.
Kentucky, much like Arkansas, has been a great story this year, and I hope for the sake of more good SEC football, that those programs maintain that for a while. However, much like Arkansas, I don’t see Kentucky faring well against Georgia in this one. Betting against Georgia is not something I would ever recommend.
This defense is unbelievably dominant. Their -0.183 predicted points added against per play (PPA) is far and away the best in the country, and they’re pacing to beat out the 2016 Alabama unit for the most dominant defense since collegefootballdata.com began tracking the stat. Their opponent’s success rate is historically low as well as their 27.1% success rate against is also the lowest mark ever as of now.
Maintaining that seems like a tall ask of anyone especially in this era of offense where a new record is getting broken constantly, but Georgia’s defense has proven to be a poison against the RPO and spread, and Kirby has all of his guys bought in. If they do lose a game, it won’t be due to poor defense, and I don’t see them losing here.