Three weeks ago, the Arkansas Razorbacks were on top of their own world. After defeating the Texas A&M Aggies for the first time in 10 years, the Hogs seemed poised for big things. But two slip-ups in a row against the Georgia Bulldogs and Ole Miss Rebels have brought them down a few pegs. Now, the Razorbacks are hoping to avoid a three-game skid. In order to avert that danger, they’ll have to defeat the Auburn Tigers. Auburn themselves has been a bit skittish at times, but at 1-1 in SEC play they have a chance to propel themselves to 2-1 in this one.
How to watch Arkansas vs. Auburn
Time: Noon ET
Watch Online: CBSSports.com
(via DraftKings SportsBook)
Spread: Arkansas -5.5 | Auburn +5.5
Moneyline: Arkansas -195 | Auburn +165
Both teams come into the game averaging at least 30 points per game on offense. The Tigers have a mark of 35.0 while the Hogs have put up 32.3. Arkansas holds a slight edge in yards per play, as they’ve averaged 6.8 to Auburn’s 6.4. Meanwhile, Auburn holds an edge in the rushing department, averaging 6.1 YPC to Arkansas’ 5.4. Auburn’s averaged more passing yards per game, but Arkansas has been more efficient from a completion% standpoint.
On defense, both have been stout enough. Auburn’s allowed just 19.2 points per game while Arkansas’s allowed 24.5. The Tigers have let up 4.9 YPP while the Razorbacks have let up 5.1. If you’re keeping track here thus far, these two teams are pretty evenly matched.
That being said, Auburn could be in some trouble. Tigers linebacker Owen Pappoe may once again be out of action this weekend. While there’s no doubt that the Tigers have stood up well, this is the best rushing attack they’ve faced all year. Arkansas averages 245.7 yards per game on the ground this year. That ranks fourth in the SEC but is Top 10 nationally.
This one’s in Fayetteville, which I think can and will tip the scales in Arkansas’ favor. I wouldn't be too surprised at either result here, as I think these two teams are statistically pretty evenly matched. But I think the home team, with the more reliable quarterback in KJ Jefferson, gets the job done in this one.