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Viewing Information
Time: 5 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN2
Live Stream: WatchESPN
Gambling Info
Spread: NC State opened as a four point favorite, but that number is up to as high as six in some places.
Records ATS: NC State 8-4 | Vanderbilt 7-5
O/U: 45
Inside the Numbers (via Football Study Hall)
Category | North Carolina State | Vanderbilt |
---|---|---|
Category | North Carolina State | Vanderbilt |
S&P+ Offense | 31.2 (55th) | 25.1 (90th) |
S&P+ Defense | 20.1 (17th) | 27.2 (45th) |
Rushing S&P+ Offense | 102.2 (67th) | 102.7 (66th) |
Rushing S&P+ Defense | 125.8 (11th) | 13.6 (52nd) |
Rush Success Rate Offense | 43.3% (69th) | 43.9% (62nd) |
Rush Success Rate Defense | 34.5% (9th) | 42.8% (68th) |
Passing S&P+ Offense | 110 (46th) | 95.4 (84th) |
Passing S&P+ Defense | 115.8 (19th) | 108.7 (36th) |
Pass Success Rate Offense | 42.6% (46th) | 38.6% (87th) |
Pass Success Rate Defense | 39.3% (53rd) | 41.8% (73rd) |
Players to Watch
NC State
RB Matthew Dayes
Dayes, a senior running back, finished third in the ACC in rushing yards this season with 1119 rushing yards. The two players to finish ahead of him were Lamar Jackson and Dalvin Cook, respectively. Dayes rushed for 100+ yards in five of NC State’s six wins this season, and eight times overall. Vandy is a touch above average against the run this season, allowing 165 yards per game (57th in the nation). If the ‘Dores are able to slow Dayes down, it should go a long way towards a potential victory.
DE Bradley Chubb
Chubb, cousin of Georgia RB Nick Chubb, had his coming out party this season when he recorded three sacks in NC State’s 10-3 victory over Notre Dame. The junior finished the season with 9.5 sacks and 21 TFL. Vanderbilt gave up 27 sacks on the year, third-worst in the SEC, so if Chubb once again takes his game to another level in a big game, it may be a long day for Vandy QB Kyle Shurmur.
Vanderbilt
ILB Zach Cunningham
Where else were we going to start? The First Team All-SEC linebacker has been the driving force behind the Vanderbilt defense all season long. His 16.5 tackles for loss are 20th in the nation, and there’s a very good chance Monday may be Cunningham’s final collegiate game. He’ll certainly be looking to go out as a winner and make a huge impact for the Commodores.
RB Ralph Webb
NC State isn’t the only team with a 1000+ yard rusher in this game. Vanderbilt’s Ralph Webb upped his yards from last season to this season (1172 to 1152, respectively) on 50 fewer touches. While the 20-yard jump doesn’t seem significant on its own, it’s a full yard per carry more this season than last. That’s progress. However, Webb will have to do some of his best work of the season if he wants to make an impact in this one. NC State comes into the game at #6 in the nation at rushing yards allowed per game with 104.7, including holding Florida State’s Dalvin Cook to 65 yards on 18 carries in their meeting in early November.