Since the year 2005, Florida has absolutely dominated Tennessee. The Gators are 14-1 over that time period, the lone loss coming back in 2016. 10 of the 14 wins over the Vols have come by double digits, two of the last three by 26+. Florida actually trailed the all-time series 15-19 after the Vols defeated them 30-28 back in 2004. Since then though, this has become an absolutely lopsided rivalry in favor of the Gators. Will that be the case again this go-around?
How to watch Florida vs. Tennessee
Time: 7 p.m. ET
Watch Online: ESPN App
(via DraftKings SportsBook)
Spread: Florida -20 | Tennessee +20
Moneyline: Florida -1250 | Tennessee +750
Both the Gators and Volunteers stand at 2-1 going into this game. The Gators dropped one at home to top-ranked Alabama last week. The Vols won 56-0 against Tennessee Tech, a week after losing 41-34 at home to Pitt.
Defensively, Tennessee has the edge right now. Thus far, they’ve allowed 15.7 points per game, an average of 3.8 yards per play, and 1.7 yards per carry. Their pass defense has been spectacularly average, but it’s been able to get the job done for them.
On the flip side, Florida has had some ups and some downs. They’ve allowed over 21 points per game through the first three games of the year. Further, they’ve allowed 4.8 yards per play, a full yard behind the mark Tennessee has. They’ve kept the ground game in check though, allowing just 2.8 yards per carry so far. But they’ve given up nearly 230 yards per game through the air and a similar mark to Tennessee’s based on completion percentage.
Offensively, both of these teams have had levels of success. Tennessee’s run game has been pretty bountiful, as has Florida’s. Neither team has set the world on fire through the air, but has done just enough to get by. Tennessee has finished drives pretty well, while Florida has had their share of issues.
Granted, Tennessee’s SOS has been in the doldrums. Still, you can only work with what you have in front of you. And so far, the Vols have played pretty well. I do not expect them to pick Florida off here. But after that battle the Gators were in, it wouldn’t shock me if the Vols kept this a bit close. This one, I feel, comes down to pace. Whoever dictates the tempo here will determine just how wide the MOV will be here.