Since the start of the 2010s, the Georgia Bulldogs have owned their series with the Tennessee Volunteers. The Dawgs are 7-2 against the Vols in that time period, with the lone losses coming in 2015 and 2016. One of those wins, of course, was Tennessee’s miraculous Hail Mary victory in 2016 (shout out to Jauan Jennings). The other came in 2015, when Joshua Dobbs scored a go-ahead rushing touchdown late in the 4th quarter.
That loss for Georgia in Knoxville also kept with the trend of things playing close lately. In the last 10 games at Neyland Stadium, a mark that stretches us back to 1999, Georgia is 6-4 in Tennessee’s home dwellings. They’ve won three of the last four games played there, a mark that brings us back to 2011. And it’s likely that the 2019 edition of this series will likely play to that trend for UGA again.
Five weeks through the season, Jake Fromm has yet to be picked off. He’s thrown just 82 passing attempts, granted, but it’s still a pretty noteworthy fact. Also noteworthy is the fact that D’Andre Swift is averaging an eye-popping 7.9 yards per carry. He’s done so on just 49 rushing attempts, and you figure he could probably serve well by having even more carries. That said, UGA’s running back depth can definitely still be tapped into. James Cook and Zamir White are under 10 and 20 carries respectively still. Brian Herrien, meanwhile, has 29. So, it will be intriguing to see what the diet calls for against the Vols, who’ve allowed the exact same YPC as the Alabama Crimson Tide has. Whether that’s a good or bad thing... depends on your stance.
For Tennessee, tough sledding awaits them. The UGA defense in particular will be a tough nut to crack. UGA has allowed 2.3 YPC, which going into Saturday was tied for the sixth-best mark in the nation. Their pass defense has been “solid,” allowing 205.5 yards per game, but there’s talent all across the secondary that would be tough to deal with anyway. Tennessee’s pass attack ranks 102nd in the nation going into Saturday’s matchup with Georgia, with just 200.8 passing yards per game. So even though Georgia’s pass defense is merely “good,” it’s not as though Jarrett Guarantano and the Volunteer passing game has been lighting the world on fire this year. Or even a couple of suburbs.
Unfortunately, I don’t foresee a Tennessee win here. Anything can happen of course, but Georgia has been on another level compared to most teams in the conference and the nation this year. I don’t see that changing. But I’ve been wrong before.
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