|7:00 PM||Tennessee at Kentucky||ESPN/WatchESPN|
|7:00 PM||South Carolina at Arkansas||ESPN2/WatchESPN|
|7:00 PM||Alabama at Mississippi State||SEC Network/WatchESPN|
|9:00 PM||Missouri at Ole Miss||SEC Network/WatchESPN|
It’s extremely rare that the Kentucky Wildcats are not favored to win in Rupp Arena, and the wise guys in Vegas wouldn’t go that far — the Wildcats are a 2-point favorite in tonight’s matchup with the Tennessee Volunteers, which tips off at 7:00 PM on ESPN. But KenPom’s algorithms have Tennessee favored, a rarity when Kentucky is at home.
It comes down to Tennessee being extremely impressive in winning 8 of its last 9 by an average of 13 ppg. On the other side of the matchup, while Kentucky had won three in a row before dropping a road game at Missouri on Saturday, they’d played essentially one good half of basketball over those three games: they sleepwalked their way to home wins over Mississippi State and Vanderbilt with a comeback win over West Virginia in between.
In other action, the Arkansas Razorbacks return home at 7:00 PM ET on ESPN2 after dropping two on the road last week. They’ll host the South Carolina Gamecocks, who have lost three in a row.
Also at 7:00 PM ET, the Mississippi State Bulldogs will look to extend their three-game winning streak as they host the Alabama Crimson Tide on the SEC Network. That’s followed on the same network at 9:00 PM ET with the Ole Miss Rebels hosting the Missouri Tigers.
Bad Gambling Advice
Season to Date: 89-88-4 ATS
- Tennessee (+2) at Kentucky: See above. Tennessee is rolling right now, while Kentucky hasn’t looked terribly impressive.
- South Carolina at Arkansas (-6.5): South Carolina’s season seems to be falling apart very quickly, while Arkansas is playing at home where they usually play well.
- Alabama at Mississippi State (-3): Quietly, Mississippi State has won three in a row and I think they’ll extend that winning streak. Alabama seems to have a problem this season getting up for things like midweek trips to Starkville.
- Missouri (+1.5) at Ole Miss: I’m mostly fading Ole Miss here, who, like South Carolina, seems to be falling apart rather rapidly.