In 2013, the SEC missed out on winning the national championship. In 2014, the SEC didn't even have a team even play for the national championship. Now in 2015, it might not have one of the top two teams in the preseason either.
In every year since 2007, the SEC has had one of the top two teams according to the preseason consensus. So far this year though, Ohio State and TCU are the top two teams in the early rankings. There are plenty more sources for the consensus left to go, so nothing is set in stone yet. But if things continue to go the way they have been going, this year will be the first time in a decade that an SEC representative has not ended up in the preseason top two according to the people who are supposed to be experts.
Here are the preseason top two selections according to the preseason consensus for every year in the past decade:
- 2006: 1 Notre Dame, 2 Ohio State
- 2007: 1 USC, 2 LSU
- 2008: 1 Ohio State, 2 Georgia
- 2009: 1 Florida, 2 Texas
- 2010: 1 Alabama, 2 Ohio State
- 2011: 1 Alabama, 2 Oklahoma
- 2012: 1 USC, T-2 Alabama/LSU
- 2013: 1 Alabama, 2 Oregon
- 2014: 1 Florida State, 2 Alabama
- 2015: 1 Ohio State, 2 TCU
The Buckeyes are going to be untouchable at the top spot, as they return nearly everyone from their national championship team from a year ago. Alabama, which is sitting in third, might have a chance to catch TCU. The Tide right now is slightly closer to the Frogs than TCU is to Ohio State.
Being in the preseason top two doesn't necessarily mean anything. USC finished 2012 at 7-6, while 2012 LSU, 2011 Oklahoma, 2008 Georgia, and 2006 Notre Dame finished outside the top ten in the teens of the AP Poll.
And, of course, not having a team in the preseason top two doesn't necessarily mean anything for the SEC either. I don't need to remind anyone around here which streak happened to start in 2006 when it last didn't have one.