SEC Football Picks: David's Week 11 Selections

Last week: 4-2 straight up, 4-2 against the spread

Season: 70-12 straight up, 49-23-1 against the spread

The only game I feel like I completely missed on last week was LSU-Alabama. I thought Leonard Fournette would be the difference maker in a Tiger win, and, well, nope. I missed on South Carolina covering against Tennessee, but I had that right up until I changed it at the last minute before publishing. I also missed on Arkansas beating Ole Miss, but I was very confident in Arkansas covering that line and said the Rebels might give it away at the end. All in all, not bad.

As always, the lines come from the Yahoo pick 'em game.

Florida (-7.5) over South Carolina 21-17

I don't trust Treon Harris on the road to cover against much of anyone, and the Gamecock defense hasn't been a complete disaster of late. Like my expectations last week, I think Florida will just try to get a lead and have the defense hold it. Also like last week, that strategy may not go as well as planned.

Tennessee (-41) over North Texas 55-6

This is a lot of points, but teams that have defeated the Mean Green by at least that much include Iowa, Louisiana Tech, and, oh yeah, the FCS's Portland State. In Knoxville, give me the Vols running up the score on a bad team playing out the string under an interim coach.

Auburn (-1.5) over Georgia 27-20

I don't like having to pick this game. Auburn's offense has been getting better, but it's largely because of the run and UGA is pretty good against the run. Its defense is better with Carl Lawson, though, so I'll go with the home team. Either team winning wouldn't surprise me.

Alabama (-8) over Mississippi State 32-21

Having to go to Starkville the week after the biggest game of the season screams "letdown spot". I also think Dak Prescott running this offense is not a matchup that's friendly to Bama's defense. That said, I don't trust MSU's tackling this year, and that means guys like Derrick Henry and Calvin Ridley will probably break off several big plays. I think the Crimson Tide offense wins this one, but I was very tempted to pick the Bulldogs to cover.

Vanderbilt (-3) over Kentucky 13-6

Don't watch this game.

Texas A&M (-35) over Western Carolina 48-10

Games against FCS opponents typically don't get lines, but this one did. Anyway, pure talent alone should smooth over the recent issues when the opponent is this overmatched.

LSU (-7.5) over Arkansas 30-27

Take Arkansas to cover and the over on weirdness.

BYU (-6.5) over Missouri 17-13

I can't really recommend watching this game either.