Last week: 5-1 straight up, 4-2 against the spread
Season: 55-8 straight up, 36-18-1 against the spread
My goings-on in life have me writing this up early again, so I had to go with the Wednesday lines. If something in this piece is obviously wrong—not the picks, but in the descriptions—it's probably because I wrote this two days ago. As always, the lines come from the Yahoo pick 'em game.
Arkansas (-5.5) over Auburn 31-24
Beating Kentucky, albeit on the road, doesn't mean the Tigers have righted the ship. With this one a road contest for Auburn as well, I'll take the Hogs by a touchdown. Their worst attribute is probably pass defense, and I don't think AU can fully exploit that.
Alabama (-15.5) over Tennessee 35-21
The Tide is the better team and should win this one at home. However, I think Josh Dobbs's running ability will cause enough problems to keep it closer than 16 points.
Missouri (-3) over Vanderbilt 13-6
Take the over on sadness in this one.
LSU (-16.5) over Western Kentucky 30-17
This feels like a game where LSU sleepwalks early, WKU gets a cheap score or two, and then once the Tigers inevitably get a lead, Les Miles will just let the air out of the ball and call 30 run plays in a row.
Texas A&M (+6) over Ole Miss 27-24
This game could secretly be terrible, but I'm not willing to bury Kyle Allen after a bad game against the Bama defense. I don't understand the line movement on this one, going from 4.5 to 5.5 to 6 in the Rebels' favor this week. Yes, it's in Oxford, but guess what? A&M has the No. 5 pass defense according to S&P+. The Ole Miss defense is the walking wounded, and not being able to pass would mean its offense wouldn't be able to do anything. I like the Aggies to bounce back. They're not on Bama's level yet, but they don't need to be to win this one.
Mississippi State (-11) over Kentucky 38-23
If this one was in Lexington, I'd take the points. UK isn't that great, so MSU, flawed as it is, should handle the 'Cats.