Last week: 6-2 straight up, 2-4 against the spread
I hate picking games in weeks like this where most everyone is playing cupcakes. You never know where coaches' head are at. Maybe they feeling like getting lots of good reps in, so they run up the score while practicing the base offense. Maybe they just want to get out with no injuries, so they empty the bench early and run out the clock.
So yeah, this will probably be a disaster, but not as big a disaster as the SEC Network's viewership numbers for this weekend.
As always, the point spreads come from the Yahoo! pick 'em game.
Missouri (-4) over Toledo 26-18
Toledo is not a bad team, and if Mizzou plays as it did last week, it'll lose. However, I think they'll have their heads in this game a little bit more and pull away a bit at the end.
Tennessee (-16.5) over Arkansas State 33-20
After dominating Utah State, I think the Vols are in for a little bit of a let down here. ASU is no pushover, and UT is on a shorter than normal week. Tennessee will still pull this one out, but they'll be sweating it a bit more.
Alabama (-40) over FAU 38-0
The Owls are terrible, but this is quarterback practice for the Tide. That means testing things out and probably guys being slightly out of sync thanks to the differences between Blake Sims and Jacob Coker.
Mississippi State (-28) over UAB 45-3
What I said last week still applies: when Dan Mullen gets a chance to run up the score, he takes it.
Kentucky (-12.5) over Ohio 27-20
I am using the same rationale here as I did with Tennessee: after a dominant win, the focus will fade a little. Plus Ohio is probably closer to Kentucky than Arkansas State is to UT.
Florida (-38) over Eastern Michigan 44-3
EMU is horrible, and Florida will be running its regular offense all game to get practice. I don't feel great about this pick; it's my one point game in the pick 'em contest.
Ole Miss (-20) over Vanderbilt 40-6
I feel like I'm being charitable to Vandy by giving it two scores here. I already regret the decision.
South Carolina (-16.4) over East Carolina 37-24
The Gamecocks should bounce back and win this, but that defense is going to give up some points.
Auburn (-31) over San Jose State 52-17
SJSU is one of the better mid-majors, but it'll be a long way from home. Besides, at this point I think I'm just going to take Auburn to cover against almost anyone.
Arkansas over Nicholls State 49-10
LSU over Sam Houston State 44-20
Texas A&M over Lamar 63-7