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Year2's Week 5 Picks

Trying to navigate a tricky week.

Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports

Last week: 6-1 straight up, 4-3 against the spread

Season: 35-4 straight up, 16-15-1 against the spread

This is one of those weeks where every line to me looks like a trap. I have to hand to to Vegas this time around. I don't think the desert dwellers are way off with any of these.

As always, the lines come from the Yahoo! pick 'em game.

Georgia (-17) over Tennessee 34-27

This pick is largely based on what I saw when I reviewed UT's game against Oklahoma. These Vols are a little dangerous on both sides of the ball, and UGA's defense is not nearly as good as OU's is. Tennessee will do an admirable job in containing Todd Gurley—except for those times where he just goes to another level—and it will be able to score some points. Toss in the sleepy noon game factor for the Bulldogs, and they'll be sweating this one out.

Kentucky (-17) over Vanderbilt 48-13

UK never beat James Franklin's Commodores, who ran up the score if they could. Here's a chance to get some revenge.

Texas A&M (-9.5) over Arkansas 42-35

The offenses will keep their respective teams in the game, and the defenses will keep their respective opponents in the game. Ultimately A&M is better at running than Arkansas is at passing, so I think the balance will push the Aggies over the top. Still though, it's going to be entertaining throughout. The only danger for unwatchability is if the Hogs just can't stop Kenny Hill at all and we get a repeat of the Ags' opener against South Carolina.

Auburn (-33) over Louisiana Tech 55-17

The Tigers probably have some frustrations to get out after their close win against K-State, and oh hey, here comes Skip Holtz.

South Carolina (-5.5) over Missouri 29-20

I really could see this one going either way, but with the home field advantage, I give a very tentative edge to the Gamecocks in this one.

LSU (-43) over New Mexico State 52-3

Let 'er rip.

Ole Miss (-21) over Memphis 38-9

The line on this one only opened at 18, probably due to Memphis's nice showing against UCLA, but it drifted a field goal towards the Rebels. Not far enough. Ole Miss's defense is for real, and its offense has hit a new high for execution. Memphis might not be the abject disaster it has been in recent years, but Hugh Freeze's guys will make them look bad.