Year2's Week 11 Picks

Last Week: 5-2 straight up, 3-4 against the spread

Season: 65-14 straight up, 29-36-3 against the spread

I haven't looked it up to be sure, but with only four games with actual spreads, this has to be the lightest picking load of the year. Also, I wrote this up yesterday and scheduled it for publish then, so if any big news has broke that would materially change the outcome of a game, oh well!

As always, the lines come from the Yahoo! pick 'em game.

Georgia (-10) over Kentucky 30-21

Noon kicks on the road can be tough on favorites, and I think Georgia will have something of a hangover from last week. In one last time without Todd Gurley, they'll overcome early sleepiness and pull out the win by the end.

Auburn (-21.5) over Texas A&M 48-24

If the Tigers don't cover this spread, it'll be because Kyle Allen shakes off his freshman jitters and scores some points.

Florida (-14.5) over Vanderbilt 28-3

Taking the Gators to cover here is basically a bet on the defense not letting Vandy's awful offense score without help. I'm not picking a shutout because the Florida coaches have talked this week about using the passing game more, which can only mean one thing—turnovers.

Alabama (-6.5) over LSU 23-20

LSU is progressing as the season goes along as its young talent matures. I still have Alabama in this one, though, because I think Bama's better overall talent will win out in the end. There's tremendous potential for danger, though. LSU will hit on a few infuriating long passes, and if (when?) Lane Kiffin forgets about the run in the second half, the Tigers might be able to contain Amari Cooper just enough to keep it close and maybe pull it out. It should be a great one.

The Bakery

Ole Miss over Presbyterian 59-3

Mississippi State over UT-Martin 63-10