Last week: 4-4 straight up, 1-5 against the spread
Season: 50-10 straight up, 23-26-2 against the spread
Last week was one of those weeks where I basically had everything wrong. The one game against the spread I got right was Kentucky blowing out UL-Monroe. It's weeks like that one that cure me of ever having thoughts of putting real money on these picks.
As always, the lines come from the Yahoo! pick 'em game.
Alabama (-13.5) over Texas A&M 28-20
Both of these teams are in the cautionary "don't overreact to last week" zone, so lacking a good feel, I'm taking the points. If Kenny Hill has another one of his games that reminds everyone that he's a freshman, I could see a Bama cover. If the Tide is sloppy with ball security as it has been at times this year, then I could see an outright Aggie win. I have no idea what to expect here.
Georgia (-3.5) over Arkansas 31-27
I would run away screaming from this line if I was an actual gambler. I think Georgia has enough of an offense even without Todd Gurley to pull this one out, but it also wouldn't shock me if Arkansas of all teams threw the East into real chaos here.
Florida (-6.5) over Missouri 17-13
The Gators are the better team here, I think, especially with this being in Gainesville. This line is definitely an overreaction to Mizzou's flop against UGA, though. The Tigers are better than that. Florida has gotten its two SEC wins on a combined seven points of scoring margin; I don't think they'll beat MU by that figure or more.
Ole Miss (-16.5) over Tennessee 27-7
The real question here is whether the Vols will finish with positive rushing yards. In the standard stats with sacks counted as rushing, I'm taking the under.
LSU (-10) over Kentucky 33-30
What, precisely, has LSU done to get 10 points against this UK team? I realize this is Tiger Stadium at night and there's the whole mythos that goes along with that, but the lights there don't magically imbue quarterbacks with accuracy they don't have.
South Carolina over Furman 27-20