Season: 16-5 straight up, 6-7-1 against the spread
Clemson (-3.5) over Auburn 27-21
Picking Clemson to win a big game is like stepping on a land mine. So is picking against this Auburn team, apparently. However in my preseason picks I actually did pick Auburn to start 2-0 while still finishing 5-7. I think that's still on the table because Mississippi State (who I wasn't high on) isn't great either when you ignore the Memphis win. Consider this possibly the last gasp of my preseason intuition when it comes to this AU team.
Ole Miss (-1.5) over Vanderbilt 17-14
I'm fairly certain that neither of these teams is all that good, but I do think the Rebels are better.
Georgia (-) over Coastal Carolina 49-3
This will be about as cathartic as a win over a I-AA team can be for a program.
Florida (-9.5) over Tennessee 33-31
I don't know why UF is favored by so much. I think this is going to be a high-ish scoring affair as I don't trust Florida's secondary or all of Tennessee's defense at all. I think it will be close throughout, and whoever gets the ball last is likely to win. Florida's superior running game should allow it to control the clock a bit more and pull this one out in the end.
South Carolina (-17) over Navy 45-30
There are many reasons to praise Navy football in the last decade, but defense isn't one of them. South Carolina's defense is better against the run also, so I expect the Gamecocks to lead comfortably throughout before the second string defense gives up some points.
Kentucky (-6) over Louisville 24-13
Enjoy this one, UK fans. It's the last win in the series you're getting for a while.
Arkansas (-23) over Troy 52-23
I can't believe the line on this game isn't higher.
Alabama (-46) over North Texas 42-7
I can't believe the line on this game is this high.