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Nate Silver: Florida has a 12.7 percent chance of winning NCAA
Link
nytimes.com
If you don't know who Nate Silver is and don't know whether you should trust him -- well, just ask Mitt Romney whether he should have listened to his own pollsters or Silver. In any case, The New York Times' statistical probability guru gives Florida a 12.7 percent chance of winning the NCAA basket-ball tournament, giving the Gators the third-best chance in the country.
