Missouri will upset Georgia this weekend.
Last week: 11-0 straight up; 5-2 against the spread
This week offers one of the lamest slates of games of the year nationally, though it's actually a bit better than last week down here. We kicked off the year with a conference game and four games against BCS AQ opponents. This week, it's three conference games plus two games against non-AQ opponents. Two of the league games are the SEC debuts of Texas A&M and Missouri, so it's looking not so bad to me.
Spreads are the consensus lines here at the time I write the post.
Auburn (+3) over Mississippi State 24-21
I'm really not sure what to make of this game because I'm really not sure as to how good either team is. I'm going with my preseason pick of Auburn here, but it's not a strong lean. In fact, I've heard that the general rule in Vegas is that home field is worth about three points, so with this game in Starkville, the bookies have got these two as being even.
South Carolina (-21) over East Carolina 29-10
We still don't know if Connor Shaw will even play, and after what I saw last week, I'm not taking these Gamecocks to cover any three-touchdown spreads against nearly anyone.
Florida (-1) over Texas A&M 20-13
It won't be pretty, but Florida will gut this game out. A&M is brand new on both sides of the ball and didn't get a chance to warm up in Week 1. Florida's offense will grind out just enough, and the defense will give up lots of yards but not a lot of points. Florida will probably get outgained on the day regardless, but yard differential isn't how we decide who wins.
Alabama (-38.5) over Western Kentucky 42-9
This is the score that LSU beat WKU by last year. The Hilltoppers will hang in there and cover, but that's about all that can be said for them.
Arkansas (-30.5) over UL-Monroe 55-17
After an uneven Week 1, the Hogs will get things going good here in Little Rock.
LSU (-24) over Washington 33-20
The Huskies were looking past SDSU last week I'm sure; they're a better team than what they showed. LSU will still take care of business, but this is not a pushover they're going up against.
Ole Miss (-8.5) over UTEP 27-20
The Miners gave Oklahoma real trouble last week. Oklahoma. I'll take the points against Ole Miss.
Kentucky (-7) over Kent State 26-9
Missouri (+2) over Georgia 30-24
The Tigers are the SEC newbie to get a win this week thanks to the yet-to-be-announced-but-definitely-happening suspensions in Georgia's defense and James Franklin's mobility.
Vanderbilt (-3.5) over Northwestern 37-30
Hey lookit! Vandy is favored on the road at a Big Ten team!
Tennessee over Georgia State 59-3