Predictions for each game on the SEC slate.
Last week: 6-0 straight up, 2-4 against the spread
Season: 57-12 straight up, 26-35 against the spread
I think it's safe to say at this point that you should just go by the opposite of my against the spread picks. It would be working out pretty well for you if you did.
Anyway, you won't be seeing much of me this weekend. I am going down for the Florida-Georrgia game, and I'll be staying with family at my aunt and uncle's cabin a short distance from the St. Mary's River. There's no Internet connection or cell reception, so I'll be in radio silence much of the time.
Missouri (-14) over Kentucky 27-17
The Wildcats are playing better, so I don't think the Tigers will cover here. This is at home, but they lost to Vandy at home not too long ago. James Franklin won't be back yet, so I'll take the points.
South Carolina (-14) over Tennessee 32-20
I will take the points because I don't know what to expect. South Carolina has just gone through a gauntlet, and it might be struggling to get up for this after likely losing out on the East. Tennessee, meanwhile, might have motivation troubles of its own with all of the Jon Gruden rumors swirling this week. The Gamecocks do play better at home, but when in doubt, I won't pick a team to cover a spread of a couple of touchdowns.
Arkansas (-6) over Ole Miss 40-20
The Razorbacks seem to be over their early season funk. Of course, watch this be the week where they prove me wrong about that.
Florida (-7) over Georgia 28-14
The more I look at this game, the more I like Florida's chances. Georgia's biggest advantage is Aaron Murray, but he's down a good receiver in Michael Bennett and the weather will hamper passing (also note: zero field goals in the predicted score). Jarvis Jones being back certainly helps the Bulldogs, but I expect the Gators to control the clock with their running game and prevent UGA's running game from getting back on track.
Texas A&M (-15) over Auburn 55-17
Just 15 points? I know this is in Auburn, but that's nowhere near enough.
Vanderbilt (-32.5) over UMass 52-13
The Minutemen lost to 3-5 Western Michigan by 38. Indiana beat them 45-6. James Franklin will run up the score if given an opportunity, and he'll have one this weekend.
Alabama (-24) over Mississippi State 30-10
The Bulldogs will probably do everything they can to shorten the game and therefore not give the Tide the opportunity to cover this line. It still won't be close, though.