It Doesn't Matter What Offense Auburn Runs
by Year2 on Jan 20, 2012 11:59 AM EST
in SEC Football
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"I think Gene Chizik is torn between what type of system(offense) he wants to run moving forward"- @TomLuginbill
— Cole Cubelic (@colecubelic) January 20, 2012
I have a couple of guesses as to why Chizik is having trouble with this issue.
One is that things were inconsistent with Gus Malzahn running the offense. In 2009, the offense was pretty good but not over-the-top good. In 2010, it was magnificent. In 2011, it was rank. If he goes with another wide-open attack, he might get similarly divergent results.
Another is that defensive guys typically prefer to have more traditional, pro-style offenses. The Stoops brothers are the big exceptions, but think about guys like Nick Saban, Frank Beamer, Pete Carroll, Will Muschamp, and so on. The level of conservatism varies, but that's the style they usually want. In fact, if my research is correct, Chizik's OC at Iowa State Robert McFarland ran a pro-style scheme. However, Chizik managed to win a national title with Malzahn's decidedly non-pro-style offense. He might be weighing his instincts versus what got him a 14-0 season.
Ultimately, it doesn't matter what style his new coordinator runs. All that matters is that the new guy is good at it.
Let's walk through the past few national championship games. In 2011, we had a pro-style (Bama) versus a pro-style with option elements (LSU). In 2010, we had an uptempo spread option (Oregon) versus an uptempo, motion-heavy spread option (Auburn). In 2009, we had a pro-style (Bama) versus a pass-heavy spread option (Texas). In 2008, we had a power spread option (Florida) versus an uptempo pass-heavy spread (Oklahoma). In 2007, we had a pro-style (Ohio State) versus a whatever-the-heck-it-is-that-Gary-Crowton-runs (LSU).
The teams that have won the most and played on the biggest stage run almost the full spectrum of offenses. There wasn't a true Air Raid team, though '08 Oklahoma was clearly inspired by it. There wasn't a flexbone team either, though Paul Johnson did win the ACC with it in 2009 before that title was vacated.
There were some offenses that liked to go really fast, and there were some with far more deliberate attacks. There were some that spread the field and some that didn't. There were some that ran to set up the pass and some that passed to set up the run.
One of the beauties of college football, and indeed one of the reasons I like it more than the NFL, is that you can win doing just about anything you want to. What it is you do matters less than how well you do it. My stated requirement above for getting a good coordinator is even undermined to a degree with Crowton and Greg Davis (who Vince Young and Colt McCoy propped up for years) making the national championship game.
Who the offensive coordinator is going to be is an extremely important for a defensive head coach like Chizik. My free advice is to pay attention to production far more than style.
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I have to disagree.
It absolutely does matter what style. The reason is that the players at a team’s disposal are going to be geared more towards one system than another, and the team cannot quickly exchange incongruent players for ones that better match the new system.
I think that AU would be better served by switching to a more pro-style offense, but I wouldn’t be surprised if the growing pains were so great that Chizik’s successor were the one to reap the benefits.
"Think of how stupid the average person is, and realize half of them are stupider than that." - George Carlin
It takes only takes a year or two to make a transition. That first year might be ugly (see Florida in ‘05 and ’11), though it could be not that bad (see: Auburn ’09). Either way, by the end of the second year everything should be fine provided the OC knows what he’s doing.
Unless Chizik thinks he will get fired within the next two years, he can move to whatever he wants.
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the argument i've tried to make
in this post and others at RBR is that the reason the pro-style offense works at alabama is because it compliments the defense so well. another extremely good example of this dynamic is TCU.
many of the teams with up-tempo offenses similarly find defensive success when they put serious effort in creating a similar balance between the two. oregon is very good in this regard.
so if chizik is taking time it could be to find the coordinator who will produce the offense that will fit the defense that he and new DC VanGorder are intending to put in place. seen in that light it actually sounds like a pretty smart move on his part.
SB Nation's The Historical: Because all those games way back when matter.
Exactly
It just would probably behoove him to get a new coordinator by signing day.
Team Speed Kills -- SBNation's SEC Blog
If you're so inclined, follow me @Year2
i can't disagree with that
i’m just skeptical the delay indicates a crisis of faith over the offense luginbill is suggesting. it seems more logical that the type of offense auburn runs does matter and chizik’s understanding of that is a more likely explanation of the delay.
SB Nation's The Historical: Because all those games way back when matter.
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