Charting the SEC in 2010
To brighten up your Monday, I decided to chart where the SEC was in 2010. You can see these charts for 2007-08, 2009, and a national look at 2009 that I did last year around this time. The values used here are solely from SEC play and do not include non-conference or bowl stats.
OFFENSE
On average, SEC teams scored 26.53 points per game and gained 375.48 yards per game. That's actually up about a field goal and thirty yards per game above 2009. Those values represent the axes on the chart. The center of each logo represents each team's average points and yards per game.
Two teams were way out ahead of everyone else, and it's no surprise who they were. The only real analogue I've got for it in the time span I've been doing these charts is Florida in 2008. A whole bunch of teams are clustered in the middle, with a steady drip of teams falling out the back. In dead, dead, dead last place was Vanderbilt, just like last year. The scale of this chart is actually bigger than last year's offense chart. Had I used the same one as before, Vandy wouldn't be on it at all.
I did want to point out one thing: Mississippi State's offense wasn't all that good. In fact, it regressed notably from 2009. In '09, the Bulldogs were right below the conference averages in scoring and total offense. Last year, they were ahead of only Vandy in both categories. You'll find out soon why MSU had a much better record despite falling way behind on offense, but keep that in mind if you're optimistic about this team's chances in 2011.
Also, Florida comes out above average in points scored despite being ninth in the league in total yards. Special teams and defensive scores will do that for a team.
DEFENSE
The average points and yardage allowed is identical to the average points and yards gained because this is a closed set of data. Every point scored is a point allowed by someone else and so forth. The scale on this chart is identical to the one above.
Three defenses were well out ahead of the pack: Alabama, LSU, and Florida. Alabama allowed the fewest points, Florida allowed the fewest yards, and LSU was right in the middle of both of those two in each category. You'll note that Mississippi State, while average in yards allowed, was third best in scoring defense. That's what enabled the Bulldogs to jump up to nine wins: a big defensive improvement.
As with offense, there's the clutter in the middle with a few teams well behind. It's a shame for Kentucky that its defense wasn't better, because its offense was actually one of the better ones in the league. It's also interesting that the SEC East's champ South Carolina came out almost exactly average in both offense and defense. It just goes to show how flawed the other East teams were last year.
OVERALL
In this final chart, I combined the average scoring and total offensive rank for each team and the average scoring and total defense ranks for each team. The scale is unique from the other two. The axes represent an average ranking of sixth in each category. Right of center is good for offense; above center is good for defense. In other words, the upper right quadrant is where you want to be on this chart.
As is always the case with these overall charts, the schools are scattered all around. Interestingly, only two teams came out above average in both offense and defense: Alabama (finished fourth in the SEC West) and Georgia (finished 6-7 overall, 3-5 in conference play). Last year was not a year for balance in the SEC, that's for sure. The only team with a semblance of "balance" that succeeded in the standings was South Carolina, who was average on offense and slightly below average on defense. This fact also underscores the malaise that surrounded Georgia last year. You can't find many justifications in their numbers as to why the Bulldogs finished the year under .500.
This final chart just reemphasizes much of what you already figured. Vanderbilt was hilariously bad. Auburn and Arkansas were elite offenses with mediocre defenses overall. LSU and Florida could have been better with more offense. South Carolina didn't excel at much, but they didn't have many glaring weaknesses either. The one thing that stands out is how mismatched Mississippi State's offense and defense were. Just keep that, and the fact MSU lost DC Manny Diaz, in mind when projecting where the Bulldogs will be this fall.
ADDENDUM
Commenter jd is legend requested a chart showing the point and yardage margin for the teams. I do take requests sometimes, so I whipped this one up:
That little line in the bottom left is the edge of Vanderbilt's logo. I had to make the scale quite large in order to get even that much of the logo on there. Here's some perspective: Auburn and Arkansas combined outgained their opponents by an average of 209.6 yards per game. Vandy was outgained by 245.4 yards per game. Auburn and Alabama (the top two in scoring margin) outscored their opponents by 22.8 points per game. Vandy was outscored by 21.9 points per game.
Something to keep in mind in both this and the other charts is that South Carolina had to play Auburn, both the top points and yardage margin team, twice last season. That depresses their numbers notably.
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Great work
What about a chart that shows the difference in yards gained vs yards allowed on one axis, and the difference between points scored and points allowed on the other axis?
Hit me up on Google+
Nice idea
I added it in at the end.
Team Speed Kills -- SBNation's SEC Blog
If you're so inclined, follow me @Year2
by Year2 on Jul 11, 2011 2:36 PM EDT up reply actions 1 recs
Fantastic work.
Editor at Alligator Army - The Florida Gators Blog
The Florida Gators - The most despised team in all of college football - Which is fantastic.
SoCar's margin numbers might be depressed because they had to play Auburn twice...
… but that means that Auburn’s numbers are also inflated because they got the opportunity to pummel South Carolina twice.
We only got pummeled by Aubie once, sir
but I will concede it was a pummeling equal to any two (or even three or four) garden-variety beat-downs. But then will we ever see the best player in the country be suspended and then re-instated by the university, conference and NCAA – in secret no less – in three days? No one from the East would have beaten Auburn that day, or even kept it close.
Whether the Plainsmen’s SECG victory actually holds up in the record books remains to be seen.
Here's a health, Carolina, forever to thee! UNIVERSITAS CAROLIN MERID. 1801 Emollit mores nec sinit esse feros (Ovid)
Given that UF had a good defense and an offense that was
Slightly above average in Pts, but slightly less in yards, you have to think the 7-5 was particularly disappointing. I think the final chart shows it best: Other teams with good defenses and an average offense could eke out 10 wins (LSU/Alabama). Should have been worth a win or so for the Gators in the comparatively easier East.
"Imagination was given to man to compensate him for what he is not; a sense of humor to console him for what he is." -Sir Francis Bacon
by Stuck in the Plains on Jul 11, 2011 7:23 PM EDT reply actions
Well, the 10-7 loss to Mississippi State with two missed field goals jumps out as a winnable one, and they came very close to beating LSU too. Of course, they needed overtime to beat Georgia too.
Part of it I think is that they blew UK and Vandy away to such large degrees that it skewed their numbers somewhat.
Team Speed Kills -- SBNation's SEC Blog
If you're so inclined, follow me @Year2
by Year2 on Jul 11, 2011 9:48 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions

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