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SEC 2010 // Diagnosing Florida's Offensive Problems

Last year's Florida offense did not live up to its billing. It was able to firebomb the cupcakes as expected, and it had some highlights against Kentucky and Georgia. More often than not though, it struggled against good defenses.

Perhaps more than anything else, the issue was the way that Tim Tebow tended to get laser-locked on to Riley Cooper and Aaron Hernandez to the exclusion of his other receivers. If they weren't open, more often than not he'd take off and run. In the past when that happened it was with Percy Harvin, and that tended to work well enough. That's because it was Percy Harvin.

I ran across a play in last year's Vanderbilt-Florida game that is emblematic of the problem.

1_medium

Here is the formation: one back (Jeffrey Demps #2), with three receivers (Cooper #11, David Nelson #83, Deonte Thompson #6), and one tight end (Hernandez #81). It's a play action pass. As best as I can tell (there was no replay), only Thompson is going long. Cooper runs a seven-yard out pattern, Hernandez and Demps do short curls over the middle, and Nelson goes short towards the side line.

Hernandez is probably the No. 1 option on the play as he's the first guy Tebow will look to. However, notice the cornerback who is supposed to be coving Nelson. He's late in reacting to the motion because Florida lined up quickly. Nelson is at full speed while his man is just now starting to move. That's a big advantage, especially since Nelson's route will take him even farther to the right side of the field.

Now let's check on things when the ball is snapped.

Star-divide

2_medium

This shot is from right when the ball is snapped to Tebow. Demps is doing his play fake before plunging through the line for his short route. Nelson's cornerback is just now getting to the vicinity, and he's not set and ready for the play.

3_medium

Tebow stares down Hernandez from the start. Meanwhile, Nelson is filling the space Thompson is vacating in a hurry. The slow-reacting corner is five yards off of him and not taking the best angle either. If you're concerned about the safeties, don't be. They've retreated out of sight to cover things deep. They're way out of the play.

Now as you can see, the linebackers didn't bite on the play fake. One appears to be playing good, tight coverage on Hernandez while the other one is eyeing Demps. Going to Hernandez would have been great if they had bit on the play fake, but no dice. Let's see how this finishes.

4_medium

Look at the game clock in this shot and the last. They both say 7:44, so less than a second has gone by.

The defensive end on Tebow's blind side ran far up the field, catching the notice of Tebow. That end is still being blocked by RT Marcus Gilbert and wasn't much of a threat, but great as Tebow is, he doesn't have eyes in the back of his helmet.

Tebow has already seen the linebacker coving Hernandez and now he feels pressure. This would be the time to step up in the pocket. Cooper is just now breaking, Demps hasn't even gotten through the line yet, and Hernandez's curl caught the backpedaling linebacker off guard. Furthermore, there's still five yards of separation between Nelson and his covering corner. There are still some options if he wants them.

Instead, Tebow has already decided to take off and run no more than a second and a half after the snap. In fact, he ends up running right at his blockers into congestion instead of into some of the open green space to his right. He ended up picking up four yards on the play after cutting back to the middle to set up a third-and-five, which wasn't a bad outcome. Not many other quarterbacks could have picked up those tough running yards, something that is part of what made Tebow what he was.

The play could have had a better outcome though had Tebow shown some measure of patience in the pocket. Or, for that matter, had he recognized the slow moving corner who was assigned to Nelson. If Tebow saw that and gone to Nelson immediately instead of looking at Hernandez first, a completed pass would have resulted in at least 10 yards, if not more.

This kind of thing was all too common last season after Tebow's concussion. He didn't get it while scrambling, but rather while standing in the pocket. He never was quite comfortable in the pocket again (understandably) until the Sugar Bowl, and his lock-on syndrome with Cooper and Hernandez only got worse. Florida's offense was still effective enough to win all but one after the concussion, but it never had a chance to live up to its preseason billing.

So what does this mean for 2010? Well, John Brantley is not as much of a scrambler as Tebow was. Even if he takes some shots, he's much more likely to step up in the pocket in this situation rather than take off. Florida will lose some of Tebow's tough first down runs, but it will gain many more yards in situations like this one.

It's a trade off, and how lucrative a trade off it is will go a long way to determining how Florida's new offense will fare this fall.

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Great analysis

I still think that a quick pass to Nelson only nets 5 yards though, unless the CB misses the tackle of course – then it’s a big gain.

by skigator93 on Aug 4, 2010 11:04 AM EDT reply actions  

It’s easier to tell in video than in these stills (the SEC Digital Network has the game if you want). I think Nelson could have turned the corner on the guy because of how slowly he reacted, but 10 yards is about where the CB would have caught up or where I suspect a safety could have reached him.

Team Speed Kills
SBNation's SEC Blog

by Year2 on Aug 4, 2010 11:23 AM EDT up reply actions  

Maybe

and I’m no expert on Tebow’s mechanics, but wouldn’t his notoriously long delivery tip off the safety and cause the out to Nelson to gain less than 10?

"It's not the size of the dog in the fight, it's the size of the fight in the dog." - Bear Bryant

by NJBammer on Aug 4, 2010 12:45 PM EDT up reply actions  

Nah

They began backing up the instant the ball was snapped. They’d have to recognize, stop, and then make up ground. If Tebow hit Nelson in stride, then it’s at least 10 yards.

Team Speed Kills
SBNation's SEC Blog

by Year2 on Aug 4, 2010 1:17 PM EDT up reply actions  

That is a good point NJBammer

After Tebow’s windup, the corner would have time to close that gap and stop Nelson….unless of course there was already a man on and he was throwing from the stretch!!

by skigator93 on Aug 4, 2010 11:22 PM EDT up reply actions  

it seems the CB would have gotten to

Nelson because if you look hard enough into picture #3, it looks like he has already turned around to get on Nelson and If Tebow threw and Nelson caught it it would only be about 5-7 yards unless that corner miss that tackle then it could be 15-25 yards cuz I see empty field after that corner, but very nice observation

"JASON HEYWARD STRIKES AGAIN"

by southman on Aug 4, 2010 2:37 PM EDT reply actions  

Go watch the play in full motion on the SEC Digital Network. It’s a lot better than these screen caps. In picture 2, the CB is slowing down and squaring up to the line of scrimmage while Nelson is going into his route. In the fourth still, the CB is farther away from the line of scrimmage than he was in the third still. Trust me on this. Nelson could have gotten ten yards before being forced out of bounds.

Team Speed Kills
SBNation's SEC Blog

by Year2 on Aug 4, 2010 4:08 PM EDT up reply actions  

Which, again, is why SECDN has turned out to be a terrible idea

Better than what other conferences have, which is essentially nothing at all that I’m aware of, but it’s not well run or thought out. EMBED IS YOUR FRIEND, SEC. CAN YOU HEAR ME?

Team Speed Kills. All SEC, all the time.

by cocknfire on Aug 6, 2010 2:20 AM EDT up reply actions  

I'd love for my team to have these kinds of offensive problems...

…that allows them to go 12-0 in the regular season. I’m just saying…

http://hobnailboot.wordpress.com/

by AuditDawg on Aug 4, 2010 10:03 PM EDT reply actions  

You aren’t the only one I’m sure.

Go Gators!

The Once and Future King

by FlaGators on Aug 4, 2010 11:37 PM EDT up reply actions  

It was the defense, not the offense, that got Florida to 12-0 last year.

Team Speed Kills
SBNation's SEC Blog

by Year2 on Aug 5, 2010 9:27 AM EDT up reply actions  

That was said tongue in cheek

I don’t disagree that the defense carried the team. I just don’t understand the frustration and overanalyzing about the offense last year and its “struggles”. The damn team still went 12-0 in the regular season.

It just seemed like Florida fans didn’t enjoy what was a pretty damn good team because the offense wasn’t flashy enough and that to me is the amusing part about all of this. We can dissect the Addazio offense forever and ever, but the fact of the matter is that the team still went 12-0 and Florida fans weren’t happy. Maybe Spurrier was right saying that 10 wins isn’t good enough anymore down there.

It’s just that I would have traded my alma mater’s #2 scoring offense in a heartbeat for a few more wins and wouldn’t have cared how ugly it might have looked. You don’t hear Ohio State fans apologizing for their 2002 national title despite how terrible that offense was.

http://hobnailboot.wordpress.com/

by AuditDawg on Aug 5, 2010 10:38 AM EDT up reply actions  

The point of the post was simply to show why no one saw the offense they were expecting out of Florida last year, not to beg for sympathy.

Team Speed Kills
SBNation's SEC Blog

by Year2 on Aug 5, 2010 10:54 AM EDT up reply actions  

Fair Enough

I understand where you’re coming from. I wasn’t taking a shot at your post. I was speaking more to the general mindset I seemed to sense as the season unfolded last year where a lot of the Florida fans posting here and elsewhere seemed generally peturbed that the offense didn’t live up to its billing during the year despite the fact that they kept on winning games. At times, it felt like fans were more upset about the struggles of the offense than enjoying the good season. That’s all I was trying to say.

http://hobnailboot.wordpress.com/

by AuditDawg on Aug 5, 2010 11:03 AM EDT up reply actions  

We were enjoying the season, but we were upset about the struggles of the offense because we knew that the offense we saw wasn’t going to win a national championship – which was the goal for a team that loaded – if it didn’t get fixed. And we were correct.

by negativeEV on Aug 9, 2010 9:59 AM EDT up reply actions  

Bad comparison

I agree that Brantley is more likely to identify and hit the open receivers.

But you can’t draw expectations for him based on how defenses played Tebow, because they’re apples and oranges. Here the defense didn’t bite on the play action, but they still have to contain Tebow.

No one is going to play Brantley-contain defense this year, so when he runs that play action the linebackers drop into zone and take away the underneath routes or the flats. Now, maybe Demps goes and rushes for 1,500 yards on the season and makes that play action out to be just as dangerous in its own right, but whatever they do they won’t see the same defenses Tebow saw.

by Redcoat on Aug 6, 2010 1:14 AM EDT reply actions  

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