Each SEC team plays 4 out-of-conference (OoC) games, obvious I know, but all the other conferences consistently remark how all we play are cupcakes and for most teams that is true. 75% of OoC games for the teams are against cupcakes. However, all the teams this year except for Ole Miss (Jax, Tulane, Fresno St, & UL-Laf) play at least one strong team (LSU two).
I still agree with Steve Spurrier's statement that playing in the SEC is tough enough to justify the cupcakes and one strong OoC game. But the question is how many of this year's 48 games does the SEC need to win to keep people from complaining too loudly?
I figure at least 66% (32/48) have to be wins. Below are my predictions for this year's OoC games.
Bama: San Jose St, Penn St, @Duke, and Ga St, all wins
Ark: Tenn-Tech, Monroe, @Tex A&M, and UTEP, all wins
Aub: Ark St, Clemson, Monroe, and UT-Chat, 3 wins with possible loss to Clemson
LSU: UNC (neutral site), UWV, McNeese and Monroe, 3 wins with loss either to UNC or UWV
MSU: Memphis, Alcorn St, @Houston, UAB, 3 wins with loss coming at Houston
Ole Miss: Jax, @Tulane, Fresno St, UL-Laf, all wins
UF: Miami (OH), USF, App St, @FSU, all wins
UGA: Ul-Laf, @Colorado, Idaho St, GT, 3 wins with possible loss to GT
UK: @ Louisville, Akron, WKen, CharSo, 3 wins with possible loss to Louisville
USC: Southern Miss, Furman, Troy, @Clemson, 3 wins with possible loss to Clemson
UT: UT-Martin, Oregon, UAB, @Memphis, 3 wins with probable loss to Oregon
Vandy: Northwestern, @UConn, @EMich, Wake Forest, 2 wins with possible loss to NW and loss to WF
It is possible that the SEC could win a total of 37 (77%) of these games, especially if Clemson loses to both USC and Aub and Oregon is still recovering from its off-season drama.
Let me know what ya'll think.