iPad Won't Save Print Media By Itself
Every so often, we talk about the current state and future of media, as every blog is wont to do. It''s always an interest in this world where sports blogging is still roughly only five or six years old. Also, I'm a nerd. Indulge me for today.
Yesterday Apple finally introduced its iPad, a tablet computer that's been discussed in the rumor mill since about 2003. It's been a long time coming.
A lot of the speculation around this device consisted of whether this thing could "save" the print media in the way that iTunes "saved" the music industry. Could this reignite interest in newspapers and magazines, and more importantly, could it get people back in the mind frame of paying for that content?
As it stands today, the answer is fairly obvious: no. Absolutely not.
The music industry was hurting around the turn of the millennium because the downloading of free, pirated music was siphoning away huge amounts of money. Hoisting the Jolly Roger wasn't perfect though; music from file sharing was of spotty quality and the file tags could be wildly inaccurate. What iTunes did was make acquiring legal music a better experience than going the bootlegging route by ensuring that good enough quality files with correct tags were available for a relatively nominal fee. Sure, illegal downloading continues to this day. It's nowhere near as bad though, and many former pirates have readjusted themselves to paying for music.
Print is hurting today because the majority of content producers chose to put their content for free on the Internet, and that's not as profitable as the old paper business model was. You can find plenty of argument about whether reading something on a computer screen is as good an experience as reading something on paper is, and most folks end up agreeing that reading something on paper is, in fact, better. Even so, reading on a computer screen must not be that significantly worse than on paper because people are far and away choosing to read things online rather than in newspapers or magazines.
That's only half of it though.
The print industry legitimized online reading by offering its content for free on the Internet. The music industry never condoned illegal downloading because it was, well, illegal. The free written word content online never had the stigma of "illegal" attached to it, so the consumer's expectations of getting such content for free has never had anything hindering it.
The eBook app on the iPad looks good, and the New York Times app is pretty slick too. But you know what else appears to be really nice? Reading web pages. The problem of getting people to pay for stuff that's already free online simply moved from a battle between web pages and dead trees to two different apps on the iPad. Nothing fundamentally changed.
The only way that people are going to go back to paying for everything is if all professional content is no longer free, and I mean all of it. If Time and U.S. News and World Report go to a pay model but Newsweek doesn't, then free Newsweek online will win. If ESPN moves all its content behind the Insider pay wall (perhaps in some whiz-bang Insider app), then free Sports Illustrated online content will win. Name any other genre, and that's how it will go. Everyone has to get behind this, or else no one but the financial media can make it work*.
And then there is the matter of the iPad being in a category that's nowhere near as clearly defined as the iPod/iTunes market was. Some people won't get an iPad because it has some things missing (no camera, multitasking, physical keyboard, etc.). Some people won't get it because they can't see where they'd use it instead of their laptop. The message as to why to get one of these things isn't as clear as "fit your entire music collection in your pocket with an easy way to access it all." Plus, anything made for this thing is confined entirely to the device. Music purchased from iTunes even back in the days of copy protection could still be played on up to five computers in addition to on iPods.
The only thing that would make paying for a specialized media consumption app worth it is the fact that the web browser lacks Adobe's Flash player, so you can't watch non-YouTube video in the browser. You'd need to get a special app to watch, say, CNN's or ESPN's online videos in a format the iPad can play. Of course when similar devices come out (and they will come out), they will almost certainly support Flash. The lone carrot is spoiled on anything not designed by Apple in California.
The iPad has some remarkable technology in it, and the nerd side of me that is fascinated with it is battling hard against the pragmatic side of me that can't find a use for it in my daily life. I'd love to play around with one because I think trying to do stuff on a smartphone-sized screen is an atrocious experience. It's a really nice machine.
That said, it doesn't do anything to change the state the print media currently is in.
*Because you ostensibly could make money off of financial reporting, it's worth it to manypeople to pay for good information. The same principle applies for advice on gambling and fantasy sports. Also consider recruiting coverage. It has never been free from the professionals, so it thrives behind paywalls. It's a sterling example of a paid content ecosystem that works.
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Comments
it's got mark ingram on it...
so it has to be awesome!
Roll 'Bama Roll: The Champagne of 'Bama Blogs.
by kleph on Jan 28, 2010 12:41 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Much better than the NY Times screenshots during the keynote presentation, where it had Chad Ochocinco prominently displayed.
Team Speed Kills
SBNation's SEC Blog
by Year2 on Jan 28, 2010 1:53 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
the iPad
featuring the Crimson Tide on the cover…. just saying…
by knowshon loves legos on Jan 28, 2010 4:37 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
iPad
You are correct that all news outlets will have to jump on board for this to work, but this had been the only thing stopping them for years. No one wanted to take the first step into a world where they could be rendered useless if others didn’t follow. NYTs has actually made the first move, and other major players WILL follow, mark my words. The iPad, as much of an innovative fail as it is, has really given these papers and publications a bit of a push into a pay-for-content world. The print media has been dying to make their online content cost $, and now as publications start to cross to the dark side, you will not see any major player left with free content.
As for the whole flash debate, if Apple were to open itself up to flash, there would be a flood(no pun) of apps that are put together by any tom dick and harry with even the slightest knowledge of flash. The nature of Apple to be an aesthetically pleasing brand would take a huge hit. Apps would look cheap, be cheap, react cheap, and Mr. Jobs is doing a good job of keeping that at bay. I believe this is a huge problem for apple, as I would love to get an iPad and use it as my computer… only half of the websites would be off limits to me
The iPad is a few steps away from being a full on laptop but those are some very large steps that apple is obviously not willing to take, as we see absolutely no change from the iPhone to do so. So close to and ’Ender’s Game’ type work desk yet for some reason, they can’t or won’t make it happen. All the pieces are there.
They’re also going to have to work out the whole ISP thing as well. Should I be paying for internet through my phone company as well as my cell phone? Can I do it just for my iPad, but then have to rely on the 3g service where ever i am?
by knowshon loves legos on Jan 28, 2010 4:49 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
A Couple Things
The NY Times app doesn’t actually cost money, so it’s not a gateway into paid content. It simply is a nicer way to view content that is free online anyway. Subscriptions would work best if Apple modified the way in-app purchasing works to include an option for content subscription. That way, the money would flow through people’s iTunes accounts and maintain the tight integration that marks all of Apple’s iP* devices. It’s something to look for in iPhone OS 4.0.
Adobe CS5 will support turning Flash into native iPhone apps, so the issue of crappy Flash ending up on these devices is still a concern (assuming Apple doesn’t reject them all from the app store by default). It won’t be as seamless as embedded Flash in a web page and these things won’t be as nice as a Cocoa Touch app, but it will be possible to put Flash onto an iPhone/iPad via this method.
The iPad as it consists today is a fantastic niche device. Put good medical software on it, and it’ll be in every hospital in the country. With the new Keynote, it’s the ultimate device for salespeople or anyone else who makes presentations regularly. With good educational software around the eTextbooks, college students all over the country will have these. It’s also a godsend for frequent travelers. With the right software, it can fulfill a lot of uses like those. What it can’t be is a replacement for a full laptop. That’s why Apple’s pitching it as a new category rather than a replacement for something else.
Team Speed Kills
SBNation's SEC Blog
by Year2 on Jan 28, 2010 6:19 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
the app may be free
but a ‘subscription’ will cost money. NYTs just announced it this year that they will charge to view the online content.
http://nymag.com/daily/intel/2010/01/new_york_times_set_to_mimic_ws.html
other papers will follow suit.
much the way ‘the economist’ has started to do, and have actually been successful considering almost all the other mags are free to view.
I think the main reason being the first people to jump in must have extremely engaging content to make sure ppl will (literally) buy in to paying for it. The NYTs has this, the Economist has this. While most people will say, ‘hey, ill go to the AJ-C where it’s free’, there are still a lot of ppl who want the NYTs and while other papers fall in line with a pay-for-content, the NYTs won’t fold because of this decision.
I think Jobs will reject flash
by knowshon loves legos on Jan 29, 2010 2:36 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
One note
Nice piece. It will be interesting to see how print media responds to the iPad. But you neglected one thing that is killing newspapers is the decline in classified advertising revenue, and the migration of much of that content (at least for large-circulation papers) to Craigslist and other such free online services. Classified revenue is the backbone of newspaper revenue and pays for a lot of that professional content. Even if newspapers are able to drive internet traffic to a subscription service, the recouped revenue will be far less than what they once got through classified ads, even with the removal of paper/delivery costs. The iPad may help transition newspapers to a subscription service, but the content available will be far less.
by froberts on Jan 29, 2010 10:39 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
this isn't a post about anything that happened in the last 20 years of UF football
so we dont expect you to care mr ‘empire’
by knowshon loves legos on Jan 29, 2010 2:37 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Noo! do ya think so?
Last time i checked this a sports blog site thats what im getting at. If you wanna talk about some touchscreen computers lack of printing abilities go to the Mac website and complain about it.
Funny post tho made me laugh.
by gatorempire127 on Jan 29, 2010 3:46 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I'm a loyal Mac customer. I'm thrilled with my iPhone, and my Macbook.
But the iPad is a joke. Apple thinks they can put out a demonstrably inferior product — that’s what this is — and people will still buy the “magical and revolutionary” crap because it has “i” in front of it.
I can live with no webcam. It’s a little silly not to put one in, but it’s not a dealbreaker. No multitasking on a device this big is infuriating. What are they trying to pull? A “media consumption device” that can’t consume more than one form of media at once? Wanna surf the web while listening to Pandora? Too bad. Wanna have an open browser to research while you type on Notes? Sorry. An unbelievable omission.
Almost as unbelievable as the infantile, arrogant, and inexplicable decision to leave out Flash. How the F am I supposed to use this “media consumption” machine when I can’t watch three fourths of the videos on the internet, and can’t play like 90% of the games?
Screw off, Steve. I bought your laptop and phone because they were superior products for what I needed. No one needs this, and it’s designed for nothing. I hope it’s a massive failure. Maybe then you’ll go back to designing something worthwhile instead of blowing up your previous product and calling it “magical.”
Oh yeah, and if 3G hardware costs $130 (plus data fees) then I’m Bill Gates.
by Giant Catfish on Jan 29, 2010 3:16 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
There's nothing inferior about it
It’s not what you wanted it to be. That’s fine. But it’s a terrific product, and it’s going to change how we all use computers over the next few years. Watch and see. You won’t miss Flash at all. If you ever see Flash on a device like this, it will be because Adobe got off their asses and wrote a decent Flash plugin instead of the buggy, bloated, slow and cranky crap that everyone NOT running Windows has to put up with.
University of Tennessee : Where Schadenfreude Happens
by rco3 on Jan 30, 2010 1:45 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Describe to me how it's a terrific product.
More accurately, describe to me how it’s not just a blown up Touch? The only significant difference is the inclusion of iWork, which is nice, but that hardly makes this a terrific product.
As far as I can tell, the only thing I can do on the iPad that I can’t do on an iPhone is type papers and make presentations. How revolutionary. I’d like to know how it’s going to “change how we use computers” when it can’t handle even basic functions of computers. No Flash means no Hulu, and really no interesting video content at all. No games. No disk drive means I can’t watch DVDs…and since I can’t watch most video sites…it’s pretty much worthless for an entire section of media. Magical.
Of course, even if it had Flash, it’s not like I could use a webpage and the calculator together, or an App, or even a functional, non-annoying tab.
These limitations are acceptable on a pocket sized device (NOT required limitations, but acceptable given it’s size.) On a device this big, it’s a joke. It does nothing original, and the things it does do it does poorly. I’m sorry, but a web browsing tool without Flash is inferior. I have a Macbook and an iPhone, and it’s not a comparison which is more complete. The iPad is much more iPhone than Macbook.
It’ll sell a bunch because people worship at the feet of Jobs, but I think sales will almost immediately tank once people realize that this is nowhere near what Apple is selling it as. Hell, with an LCD screen it’s even a crappy eReader.
by Giant Catfish on Jan 30, 2010 8:18 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I have a feeling that multitasking is coming in a software update in the future. This thing currently runs iPhone OS 3.2, so it’s from the 3.0 line. In that light, it would have been surprising to see it be able to do multitasking this round. If it can’t do multitasking when OS 4.0 hits (probably announced in March, released in the summer), I’ll be a bit surprised. A device this large needs to be able to do that.
Flash is omitted because it’s a CPU hog, a security risk, and the No. 1 cause of crashes on Mac OS X. Slowly but surely, video sites are adding support for H.264 video which this thing does support. YouTube just added it as an option, for instance. I wouldn’t be surprised to see Hulu add it in the near future since the tide is beginning to turn against Flash in general.
The thing is, it’s not supposed to replace your Macbook. It’s not supposed to replace your iPhone. It’s supposed to live somewhere in the middle, and that it definitely does do. Everyone who was at the keynote says you really have to use this thing to understand it fully. I’m reserving my judgment until I get that experience accordingly, but I doubt I’ll ever buy one without multitasking.
Team Speed Kills
SBNation's SEC Blog
by Year2 on Feb 1, 2010 12:45 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
The iPad
Is a solution in search of a problem.
by Hogbody Spradlin on Jan 30, 2010 5:45 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Early Adopters...
Certainly appreciate that you’ve written about this.
Though I am admittedly not an Apple consumer, they have a tremendous impact on what entire industries do, including our blogging platforms.
We were talking about the iPad in my Media Economics & Finance class today (going for an MBA in Media Management) and what directions it can go. Truthfully, no one will know the impact of this latest gadget until A) the early adopters have their say after a few months, which leads to B) either Apple produces more and lowers the price because of success and subsequent demand or Apple shutters it over time because of the lack of acceptance.
Of course, those early adopters need content to play with, right? Which content providers (New York or Los Angeles Times, ESPN, Yahoo!, AOL, big news networks, etc.) will take a chance on the new tablet and stick with it long enough to build an audience? All of this remains to be seen, but it’s certainly worth watching.
Jason Clinkscales
A Sports Scribe
http://asportsscribe.blogspot.com
http://twitter.com/asportsscribe
http://newyorkbeacon.net
by Jason Clinkscales on Jan 30, 2010 8:44 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
This thing will live and die by the third party apps, period. The built-in stuff is nice and all, but it’s not enough to justify its existence.
The support for iPhone apps is nice too, but that’s not enough either since they’re all by definition designed specifically support a screen a fourth the size of the iPad’s. Apple never does anything without intent, and the slide about the iPad being a new “gold rush” was a not-so-subtle hint that they expect people to create apps specifically for this device and not just rely on the iPhone app upscaling.
Joe Hewitt, the main developer for Facebook’s iPhone app, has a really nice article on this thing that you might want to read. The key quote is this: “The bottom line is, many apps which were cute toys on iPhone can become full-featured power tools on the iPad, making you forget about their desktop/laptop predecessors. We just have to invent them.”
I don’t know if I would go as far as saying that iPad apps will make people forget about the desktop/laptop equivalents, but even the best iPhone apps are extremely limited because of the screen. The potential is there for some magnificent system-selling apps. We now just have to wait for people to write them.
Team Speed Kills
SBNation's SEC Blog
by Year2 on Feb 1, 2010 12:55 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs

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