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An Ugly Drive Chart

When Dr. Saturday does installments his "Life on the Margins" series every week, he uses some interesting stats to describe what happened. Swing points are his term for special teams points, defensive scores, and scoring drives of under 25 points. Wasted yards are yards gained on non-scoring drives plus penalties. Yards for points are yards gained on scoring drives.

Now, obviously a team that has been shut out will not have any yards for points. But for a team that actually scored, I can't imagine a more dismal ratio of yards for points to wasted yards:

Vandy_medium

Vanderbilt had 157 total yards against Mississippi State, and only two of them were put to use for scoring. That's right, only 1.27% of Vanderbilt's yards were on a scoring drive. This two yard "drive," by the way, actually started at the Mississippi State five yard line, not Vandy's as the chart says, after a fumble by the Bulldogs' Robert Elliott.

I honestly can't think of a more discouraging drive chart. There could be some more turnovers I suppose, but then you could at least point at some mistakes you can correct. In the Commodores' case, they didn't make the big mistake. They simply couldn't move the ball much and the one score they had was a gift.

Star-divide

The new look, hurry up spread offense in Nashville is clearly still a work in progress. It did gain more yards than last year's did against Mississippi State, but not topping last year's 107 yard output would have been pretty hard to do. Larry Smith's 3.9 yards per pass were noticeably higher than the 3.1 that Chris Nickson and Mackenzi Adams put together, but the ground game declined from 1.7 yards per carry to 1.1 a carry.

Mississippi State can feel somewhat good about its performance, as the Bulldogs improved in every way offensively except turnovers (which increased from zero to one) from last year. The passing game was still spotty at best, but they did rush for a respectable 4.6 yards per carry.

No matter how you slice it though, this was an ugly game between these two teams. You'd be forgiven if you saw the 15-3 final and assumed that all the points were on field goals (MSU had a touchdown with a failed conversion). That drive chart for Vanderbilt still just sticks with me for some reason. I won't say that Vandy can't overcome this and make a bowl, because the Commodores lost to Mississippi State a year ago, but at 1-2 with the entire SEC East plus Ole Miss to go, it's not looking good for a repeat.

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Comments

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Yep, the offense is a mess right now

Thanks for remembering our travails. :)

BTW, the level of discontent with our coaching staff on VandySports has reached a level I wouldn’t have thought possible 3 games after a bowl win to clinch a winning season. I certainly have no problem with critiquing a coaching staff but it seems to me that it didn’t take our fan base long at all to become spoiled. IMO many people have been in denial about how hard it is to win at Vanderbilt all along.

Ah well, I’m surprised but not that surprised, ya know?

by PhilipVU94 on Sep 23, 2009 12:25 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Winning is addictive. Once you get it and then don’t have it, you start getting withdrawal shakes.

On the positive angle, it usually takes a year or two for large scale transitions on offense to fully take root. Just because it ain’t working now doesn’t mean it still won’t in six weeks or a year from now.

Team Speed Kills
SBNation's SEC Blog

by Year2 on Sep 23, 2009 12:30 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

The loss of Jeffers and Wheeler

Without the two expected starters going into the spring, the offense has really sputtered when the ground game isn’t there. We don’t have a mauling offensive line to really FORCE the run on most teams, soooooo… yeah, don’t be surprised if these results repeat on occasion. I like the idea behind the offense, and it has helped secure some recruits, but it’s not the best formula right now for success. Which is fine, really, as there’s another 25 year window where any bowl appearance would be a step in the right direction.

As for fan expectations, I actually commented on this at Philip’s blog (Also, I didn’t mean to copy your name formula when I started commenting over here, Philip, sorry if it looks weird). Vandy fans got too excited too quickly. Yes, Bobby Johnson is building a solid, even dangerous, program. No, it still can’t handle wholesale absences from a position, or be expected to “reload.” That’s not how they recruit (although recruit rankings are just night and day different from those several years ago), and it’s not how they build the team. They build the team to always have a number of juniors and seniors at the top of the depth chart (through their extensive redshirt program), and that simply isn’t there at receiver.

by DaronVU05 on Sep 23, 2009 12:55 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

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