Does Revenge Even Make a Difference?
I don't believe for a second that Tennessee fans will be just fine with a blowout this weekend simply because they were expecting it. Watching your team lose badly is always an excruciating experience, even if you see it coming.
I don't claim to be a clairvoyant, or in this case unique, but I do think a blowout is coming for Tennessee. It also has nothing to do with stale news about off season chatter.
The Tennessee quarterback is the same.
Lane Kiffin might have a death wish for sticking with Jonathan Crompton. Crompton has already thrown a ghastly five interceptions already, not to mention his fumble problems, and Florida returns the entire defense that tied for the national lead in interceptions in 2008. One of the hallmarks of last year's Gator team was absolutely punishing teams for turnovers, and this year's outfit so far is a perfect four-for-four on converting turnovers into touchdowns.
The alternative is that he's trying the shield Nick Stephens. If he expects this game to be bad, then just go ahead and trot the punching bag out there to take it and give the backup a chance at actually winning a game. Crompton is this year's problem only; Stephens has to not only survive the year but start next year unless a freshman or JUCO transfer can win the role. This seems the more likely scenario because:
The Tennessee offensive line is a mess.
Tennessee sent out a center who couldn't snap in practice. On his left was a guard who spent time on the sideline in a walking boot and on the right was another who injured his ankle in the first half against UCLA.
The injuries were lined up in the heart of the UT offensive line in front of a surefire pro on the other side of the ball, and the Vols were nearly helpless to slow him down - and that was just one star. UT really isn't much healthier up front now, but it could use some rapid healing with about 10 more NFL prospects looming Saturday at No. 1 Florida.
That is how Go Vols Xtra began its article yesterday on the state of the Tennessee offensive line (only with more linebreaks, which I deleted). The options are to either play injured starters or play guys who aren't that good. Kiffin says that the line was the worst unit on the team against UCLA last weekend.
Now they will face arguably the best front seven in the SEC coached by arguably the best defensive coordinator in the SEC. They will face pressure from future high draft picks on the line and blitzes from future high draft picks among the linebackers and secondary.
With Crompton under center, Tennessee has to have a good running attack to keep things close against anyone with a pulse. Against a real defense last weekend, the Vols rushed for just over three yards a carry. If they had considerable trouble against UCLA, who has good players but isn't loaded like Florida is, then a disaster is coming.
The Florida offense is relaxed.
Florida's offense struggled at the beginning of last year. Tebow was trying to carry the weight of the world on his shoulders and the coaches weren't sure they trusted anyone carrying the ball but him and Percy Harvin. It led to confusion and unimaginitive play calling that kept the Gators from running up the huge scores they did later in the year.
None of that is a factor now. Tebow is playing loose and there are three different running backs who have earned the coaches' trust. The only way to stop the first team offense so far has been to hope it rains and the rain causes fumbles, but as of right now, rain isn't looking overly likely.
Tennessee's defense is still good, and I'm on the record already as saying the the Florida offense won't rack up huge amounts of points straight up against it. Even so, every normal drive that Florida scores on will only magnify any points of turnovers and the inevitable Brandon James punt return touchdown.
Okay fine. There's motivation on Florida's part.
Last year, Florida went up to Knoxville just hoping to win. They played a conservative game, tried to win with defense and running, and they declined to run up the score on the last drive by running Chris Rainey into the back of the line in Tennessee's red zone.
I will not recount all the things that have occurred over the past 10 months to reignite this rivalry. Just consider it reignited. This fact of course means that Florida will be out for blood, because Urban Meyer doesn't take kindly to slights and he isn't afraid to pile on the points when possible.
Since Tennessee is pretty much expecting a blowout, what can Florida possibly do to get it's pound of flesh? Winning by 30 would simply be covering the point spread. Winning by 40 is what they already did in 2007's 59-20 win. Holding the Vols to under 10 points is what they already did in last year's 30-6 win. How can Florida make Tennessee feel worse than it did blowing a winnable game against UCLA last week?
The only thing I can think of is a shutout. The Gators haven't pitched any kind of shutout since 2006 and haven't shut out an SEC opponent since Mississippi State in 2001. It's not something they do often. It is also the only way to show that Tennessee is worse off with Lane Kiffin's offense than it was with the hated "Clawfense" of 2008. It's the only way to say that the Vols have taken a step back since getting rid of Phillip Fulmer.
There are too many variables at work for me to give a score prediction. Just know that I'll be surprised if the Gators win and don't cover the spread.
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Kind of quiet over here...
This Ole Miss fan finds the FL-TN match the most compelling game of the weekend. Why? Certainly not because it will be the best game, far from it. Maybe because I want to see how bad Tennessee can be against a really good team. But, really, as much as I hate those incessant choruses of Rocky Top, I want to see/hear for myself whether there is any truth to the buzz that 90,000 or so Florida fans plan to serenade Lane “sing Rocky Top all night long when Tennessee beats Florida” Kiffin with their own rousing chorus of RT every time Florida scores. Any Gators know the answer to that question?
By the way, this article provides a predictive [and predictable] answer to the question in your title. We’ll find out soon enough.
the nervous light of Sunday
Arkansas - Georgia
Depending on how you define “compelling”, I could argue Ark-Ga or even Vanderbilt – MSt as more compelling than this game. Both games are more in doubt than this one! However, I agree that it has held a ghastly car-wreck rubbernecking fascination for many of us since Kiffin started targeting the Gators with his comments (and not just those who, like me, consider the Vols to be public enemy #1).
I hadn’t heard about the “Rocky Top” serenade. I’m not sure that I can endorse anyone singing “Rocky Top” under any circumstances, at least not without clever parody lyrics. (Any suggestions?) But if there’s ever a time I can enjoy that ditty, this would be it.
There's already a Florida version of Rocky Top from the Spurrier years
Rocky Top, you’ll always be – 2nd in the S.E.C.
Good Ole Rocky Top – 2nd in the S.E.C.
While “7th in the SEC” might be more fitting right now, it doesn’t flow as well.
you never know
nobody was expecting UF to get beat by Ole miss last year! after a few drives well see if Tenn can compete, Tenn will not score a TD in the first half unless its from a turnover, only a few of those will keep it close. just like last years ole miss game, the four fumbles and the missed XP.
No-one was, but Ole Miss turned out to be an excellent team led by an excellent QB. UT might have equivalent talent elsewhere, but I’d be surprised (to put it mildly) if Clausen blossomed into another Snead.
Also . . .
. . . Urban Meyer is one of those coaches (Steve Spurrier and Pete Carroll are two other examples) who are totally focused for big games, which they invariably win. Because you can’t be that intense all the time, those coaches tend to slip up against opponents they are overlooking (Stanford, Oregon State, Ole Miss, Mississippi State, Syracuse).
Urban Meyer circled this one on the calendar. Tennessee won’t be sneaking up on him. That makes all the difference in the world.
Go 'Dawgs!
I haven’t heard anything about a campaign for UF fans to sing “Rocky Top” (they all hate it anyway), but I have seen one place where someone suggested instead of booing UT when they run out, having the stadium just laugh.
Team Speed Kills
SBNation's SEC Blog
i think u mean crompton
but i get ur point, and yea the offense will not be able to beat us alone, they will need tenn defense to win the game by scoring atleast 21pnts by themselves, wether it be int returned, or blcoked fg, or fumble recoveries. our defense is too good to give up more then 14pts if that. and our offense will always score at least in the 20’s…LOL DONT GET ME WRONG. i think the final will be somthing like 42-21. i think with the new DC they will be able to get a turnover or 2.
this is written in stone
florida gators will play the usc trojans for the national championship game. gators can name there score in just about every game. only game trojans might have trouble is cal. watch that game closely and i guarantee that cal has more penalties and at more critical times in the game. why: b/c east coast vs west coast. sec vs pac ten. florida vs usc. and 38 million people vs 20 million people (states population) massive tv ratings. probably would be biggest college football game ever. early line would be 6 points to trojans even though they have home field advantage. i would give the points and watch gators win. could be two monkey wrences. injuries is one but the other one might bode well for usc. i personally would like to see aaron corp play vs washington this week. the kid can run and you do need a duel threat qb to win the nc. if usc is smart they would play aaron corp in some upcoming blowouts like the game with washington state. usc might have a chance if both qb’s were used in a good game plan. my personal opinion so it is written, so it shall come to pass. peace out! ramble on!
by wolfmanshowlforever on Sep 17, 2009 4:00 AM EDT reply actions
Pasadena, as a matter of fact.
the nervous light of Sunday
by A Fan's Notes on Sep 17, 2009 1:47 PM EDT up reply actions
You must have seen a different USC team than I did because I see one that is very vulnerable.
Team Speed Kills
SBNation's SEC Blog
Simply putting John Brantley in should be enough. He’s about the fourth best quarterback in the SEC, so there won’t be too much drop off, especially in the passing game.
Team Speed Kills
SBNation's SEC Blog
Im not surprised
Gator fans ,and even closet gator fans are usually the most classless fans of all of college football;alot like the team they root for.
Three Things
1. To my eyes, Tebow has been a little off to start the year. He’s been over and underthrowing balls (especially on short passes) more than I remember. Also I’m not convinced that the receivers have cured their case of The Drops. Even some of the big passing plays against Troy were cases of a receiver parking in a spot and waiting for the ball—a good secondary breaks those up or intercepts them. The passing game overall has yet to convince me that it’s on track. The running game however has been amazing, as long as they don’t fumble.
2. I have to think that Kiffen is going to try to get around Crompton through play-calling. Like Spencer Hall said on some podcast this week, if Tennessee limits itself to fewer than 20 passes, that would go a long way toward minimizing offensive mistakes and keeping the game close. The news about Tennessee’s O-Line is good, though, because a successful UT running game could keep things too close for comfort well into the fourth quarter.
3. You mean the inevitable James return for a TD that’s called back for a block in a back, right?
I’ll be surprised if the Gators don’t win, but I wouldn’t be surprised if we can’t cover. As long as Tennessee manages to play mistake-free, mediocre offense, I don’t think our offense scores more than 30.
He's been over- and under-throwing
more often than I remember him doing in ’07 and ’08.
1. Tebow tries to get away with things against the tomato cans that he doesn’t against the big time programs. He was just running around and slinging it because he could. That won’t happen in SEC play.
2. Because the secondary is so good, they’ll stack the box to stop the run. That’s all Meyer has talked about this week: stopping the run. If Florida could play straight up man against Oklahoma last year and succeed, then there’s no worries against Tennessee. They can hand it off all they want, but if they get under three yards a carry again like they did last week, running will amount to capitulating.
3. He got a clean one against Tennessee each of the last two years.
Team Speed Kills
SBNation's SEC Blog

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