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Is This the ACC's Year?

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The SEC is still the king of football conferences, despite the Big 12's challenge to the throne last season. Another year or two of abject failure on offense for half the SEC's teams might knock the league from its perch, but down years are inevitable and the league should bounce back nicely this season.

What Mark Schlabach wants to know is whether this is the ACC's year to get some national respect. That's kind of like the college football answer to the tech world's question of whether this year is finally the year of Linux on the desktop (hint: someone always asks, and the answer is always no). The ACC is still a few years away.

Here's why.

Star-divide

Schlabach cites some impressive NFL draft stats, and ACC commissioner John Swofford says no league was deeper from top to bottom. Those are nice, but we're talking public perception here. The public has never let a few facts get in the way of its narrative.

The former is actually telling for one of the ACC's problems. It is the conference that is most like the NFL: parity, close scores, and lots of scowling, defensive-minded coaches playing not to lose instead of playing to win. That may get the job done on Sundays, but the college game is different. College football fans as a whole have rejected the "keep it close and win at the end" mentality, though a few exceptions do still remain. Even if you win a title that way, you'll still end up with a derisive nickname like "Luckeyes."

Having a deep league is important; in fact it is one of the things that keeps the SEC at the top of everyone's lists every year. However, you have to have an oligarchy for the nation's fans to give you the most respect. If you have just one or two teams at the top every year, you get branded the Pac-1 or the Big Two (Ohio State/Michigan at one time in the Big Ten; Oklahoma/Texas now in the Big 12). The SEC has six main programs that take turns running the show (Alabama, Auburn, LSU in the West and Florida, Georgia, and Tennessee in the East), while most of the others make runs every so often. The ACC has Virginia Tech, the corpses of what FSU and Miami used to be, and a rotating cast of mostly bland, interchangeable contenders each year.

I don't like to participate in the conference wars since it's like arguing with a wall, but I do keep track of where national sentiment lies. The SEC's advantage in the perception battle has come out in quite handy for its member schools lately, with conference reputation playing a key role in getting 2006 Florida and 2007 LSU into the national title game.

For the ACC to challenge for a top spot in the conference pecking order, it will need VT, FSU, Miami, and one or two other schools to separate themselves from the pack while still having relative quality below them. A couple years of that will have to happen to cement it in people's minds, and yes, because of history, the oligarchy has to include FSU and Miami. It will also need some exciting new ideas on offense to counteract the crusty curmudgeons that largely rule the league now. It could try winning BCS games more often than once a decade as well.

Winning NFL draft day consistently is nice, but it doesn't guarantee you national respect. The ACC has the potential to improve its reputation, but it won't get there as it's currently composed.

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Oddly, SI was pounding the ACC drum recently too – though, granted, it was the ‘two teams in the BCS’ drum, not the ‘best conference in the country’ one. But even that’s a stretch – you have only four extra spots, and you have to account for the obligatory mid-major (someone’s going to make it every year now, I think), ND if it’s decent/has a weenie schedule, and assorted disappointed contenders from the SEC/Big 12/Big 10/Pac 10… that just doesn’t leave a lot of room for the ACC right now.

And when Swofford complains about how not having a horse in the national race affects how his conference was perceived, what is there to do but laugh? It doesn’t matter how much parity you’ve got if none of your teams can even crack the top 10 at the end of the season.

by peachy rex on Aug 20, 2009 5:02 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I think they might be close

Virginia Tech is ready to be the Florida/dynasty. Boston College is a quality program now. If Georgia Tech and UNC keep improving, you’re right — “all” it takes is a revival at Miami and FSU for the ACC to become a great conference.

But BC is in turmoil, Bobby is holding on for dear life here in Tallahassee and there are no guarantees about Randy Shannon. So it still might take a while.

Team Speed Kills. All SEC, all the time.

by cocknfire on Aug 20, 2009 6:13 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

You neglect an important point

The ACC may have had the single best team from 1998-2001 in Florida St, but apart from its MNC in 1999 and VaTech’s victory over Cincinnati last year their top teams have gotten murdered by every other conferences top teams.

Not only does the ACC not have the broad base you describe for the SEC – itself, arguably the result of perception more than facts – but it has a much lower peak. The ACC is 2-9 in its BCS games. That is remarkably consistent performance at a very low level. In 2007 for instance, VT lost to what was probably the 4th best Big XII team in Kansas. For comparison, the Big Ten is 8-11 and the Big XII is 7-9, and those are the only conferences below .500.

Things are looking up for them to be sure – FSU, North Carolina, and possibly GaTech are taking shape – but they’ll need at least one more team to join VaTech before the conference belongs in the same discussion as the SEC or Pac-10, owners of the two best BCS and bowl winning percentages since 2000.

by Nashville on Aug 20, 2009 8:43 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

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