SEC 2009 // Tomorrow's Tigers
C&F's predictions for Auburn.
Finish: 5th, SEC West
General: This is one of about seven teams that I could easily get very wrong. The middle of the SEC is a puzzle after last year's circus, and where everyone falls is going to be determined largely by which quarterbacks step up. Given the fact that Auburn still isn't quite sure who will be taking snaps when WAC Bulldogs come to town -- or if that person will still be taking snaps when the SEC West Bulldogs come to town -- you have to put them near the back of that pack. Auburn, though, could end up in a bowl. One played after Dec. 31 seems unlikely, unless we're talking Liberty Bowl.
More specific: Either Louisiana Tech or Ball State or maybe both will keep the game uncomfortably close for at least three quarters. Neither is a bad team, per se, and it will take the Tigers' superior depth and athleticism to put the mid-majors away. If one of them wins, on the other hand, the wheels will come off. Because so many games are effectively toss-ups, the best opportunities for a true upset come vs. West Virginia, vs. Ole Miss and of course vs. Alabama. Ole Miss would be my choice. But I doubt it happens.
Game-specific
9.5 :: vs. Louisiana Tech :: WIN
9.12 :: vs. Mississippi State :: PROBABLE WIN
9.19 :: vs. West Virginia :: PROBABLE LOSS
9.26 :: vs. Ball State :: LIKELY WIN
10.3 :: at Tennessee :: POSSIBLE LOSS
10.10 :: at Arkansas :: POSSIBLE LOSS
10.17 :: vs. Kentucky :: POSSIBLE WIN
10.24 :: at LSU :: LIKELY LOSS
10.31 :: vs. Ole Miss :: LIKELY LOSS
11.7 :: vs. Furman :: WIN
11.14 :: at Georgia :: PROBABLE LOSS
11.27 :: IRON BOWL vs. Alabama :: LIKELY LOSS
Final record: 5-7, 2-6
MONDAY: Auburn Hopes to Regroup in a Hurry
TUESDAY: Inside Gene Chizik's Contract Negotiations; The Lovliest Line-up
WEDNESDAY: The Depth Chart at Auburn, Still Focused on One Position; Auburn: Where Offense is the Question
TODAY: Predictions
FRIDAY: Feedback and Conclusions
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9-3 regular season...
With the losses coming from Ole Miss, LSU and Tenn @ Knoxville(?) or Kentucky(?)
No self respecting Auburn fan will ever admit that ‘Bama will beat Auburn, so there is no chance that I’ll say that until they do it(again).
WAR EAGLE!
Clarification, please
Is “likely” more likely than “probable”? Or should I ask if it’s more probable than probable? I mean, on the probability scale (or is it the likelihood scale?), what are those terms’ relative positions?
It’s not my intent to be a smart-ass (that’s serendipitous). I find it interesting that Merriam-Webster defines “likely” as “very probable”, and defines “probable” as “likely to become true”.
Likely means closer to a lock than probable. Correct me if I’m wrong, C&F, but the scale goes like this:
Win
Likely Win
Probable Win
Possible Win
Push
Possible Loss
Probable Loss
Likely Loss
Loss
lot's of Aubie homers voting...
I think five SEC losses is very realistic. I’m just not seeing them only losing three SEC game. Though I may be wrong.

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