The SEC Against the Spread

by kidbourbon on Oct 30, 2009 8:44 AM EDT Comment 11 comments

As of right now, Spurrier is the SEC's best spread-coverer (ATS == Against The Spread). I would not have guessed this. But they covered the spread in both of their losses, so it makes sense.

*The difference in the number of games is because I am only counting games against Division I-A schools.

Here are the against-the-spread numbers for the BCS and SEC champions in the BCS era.

What jumps out at me about these numbers are just how good the 2008 Florida and 2005 Texas teams really were. It is really tough to consistently cover two and three touchdown spreads, but these teams did it. Same goes for USC and LSU in 2003. Really impressive.

And now on to current events.

This week's picks (home team in caps):

Georgia +16 over Florida

Miss. St. +3.5 over KENTUCKY

TENNESSEE -6 over Spurrier

Tulane +36 over LSU

AUBURN +4.5 over Ole Miss

Georgia Tech -12 over VANDY

ARKANSAS -38 over Eastern Michigan.

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I depart on:

Tennessee and Auburn.
Up in the air with the State-UK game…that’s a toxic line
And, I think LSU takes out their frustrations on a very bad Tulane team to tune up for the trip to Tuscaloosa. Now whether that’s a 41-3 win or a 35-6 win is a different story.

"Hollywood made a movie of my life. The film had me proposing to my wife on the football field. I would never misuse a football field that way." -Crazy Legs Hirsch

by Stuck in the Plains on Oct 30, 2009 1:05 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

The LSU game

It was a toss-up. I didn’t bet on it in real life.

________________________________
Eric Berry is better at football than you.

by kidbourbon on Nov 1, 2009 9:03 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs

...The Arky game either

Both of those games were coin flips. I should have picked both to cover. Would have gotten one right. Again, though, not games I would take in real life.

________________________________
Eric Berry is better at football than you.

by kidbourbon on Nov 1, 2009 10:34 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs

usc is 2-8 vs the spread second worst in entire nation.

yes i am obsessive, obnoxious, in your face and all about covering the spread. those are my good qualities.

by wolfmanshowlforever on Nov 27, 2009 12:27 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs

Interesting that you

admit surprise at the news South Carolina is the best team in the conference ATS, then immediately decline a chance to take points with the Gamecocks. South Carolina is even better as a dog, going 3-0 against the number with one win SU.

If you want to play this game, take the points.

by GwinnettGamecock on Oct 30, 2009 4:08 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

Interesting?

UT over Spurrier was the easiest pick of the week. Free Money.

________________________________
Eric Berry is better at football than you.

by kidbourbon on Nov 1, 2009 9:00 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs

kansas had the best against th spread team at 11-1 next was rutgers at 10-1-1

nobody has gone 12-0 vs the spread in the last 25 years.

by wolfmanshowlforever on Nov 1, 2009 1:52 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs

Nice info

I was wondering

________________________________
Eric Berry is better at football than you.

by kidbourbon on Nov 1, 2009 9:00 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs

When did Kansas do that?

________________________________
Eric Berry is better at football than you.

by kidbourbon on Nov 1, 2009 10:35 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs

they did it in the 2007 season. they were not expected to be good

todd ressing was the young qb and he is very short so kansas did not get much respect at first but it got better as the season progressed. they beat va. tech in a bcs bowl. they went 11-1 straight up and 11-1 ats. what is kinda funny now is the coach of kansas i think benched ressing in his last outing.

by wolfmanshowlforever on Nov 2, 2009 7:59 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs