Doing Lines: Week 7

My alarm clock is going off.  It is 6:00am.  I guess this means that I should be waking up.  But I don't want to wake up.  I can't wake up right now.  Too tired -- need more sleepy.  Besides, I'm sure my cell phone alarm is set for 7:00.  I am pretty sure I remembered to set it last night.  Yeah, I'll just sleep for another hour.

::reaches up and turns alarm clock off::

I wake up momentarily feeling surprisingly refreshed.  This is not a good sign.  I glance over at the alarm and see it 9:18.  Crap!  I didn't set my cell phone alarm.  Shoot! I'm gonna be late for work.  Fudge!  I was already late once this week, but was able to stealthily sneak into my office unnoticed.  No way that happens twice in a week.  Dagnabbit!  I suck at work and in life.  Why didn't I remember to set that cell phone alarm?

Hold on for a second.  What day is it?  I went out last night.  Last night was Friday night.  IT IS SATURDAY! 

Without further adieu or clever lead-in (this should have been posted two days ago...technical difficulties) here are my SEC week 7 picks.  Last week I went 5-2 against the spread.  And actually 6-1 if take into account that my Georgia pick was clearly just a reverse jinx pick.  Yall didn't know that my Georgia pick was a reverse jinx pick? Okay, okay, I will have to settle for 5-2.

Home team in CAPS:

Georgia (-7.5) over VANDY

Big bounce back for Georgia.  They aren't as bad you think.  Too much talent to be *that* bad.  And Vanderbilt is TERRIBLE at the game of football.

Mississippi State (-4.5) over MTSU

Why am I not confident about this pick?  I seriously seriously considered going the other way.

Arkansas (+24.5) over FLORIDA

Vegas appears to be giving Florida an additional 7 points each week based solely on brand name recognition.  The fact of the matter is that Florida is simply not the offensive juggernaut that they were last year.  Percy Harvin now plays for a different team.  This doesn't mean that Florida isn't very good.  But 24.5 is a hefty hefty line for an SEC game not involving Kentucky or Vanderbilt.  Remember when Florida was favored by 30 over Tennessee?  I didn't write about it...but I took Tennessee.  I mean, I would have taken Tennessee if gambling were legal.

UAB (+22) over OLE MISS (Mississippi is at home.  Writing out UAB would be silly)

This is a close one.  In fact, all of these spreads this week are close calls.  None of them are "free money" picks, so to speak.  Ole Miss could show some life and put a good ole fashioned whuppin on UAB.  And maybe that will happen.   If the spread here were 17 or 18 I would probably go the other way.  A 3+ TD spread, though, is a rather substantial spread.  I don't think Ole Miss has quite shown that they are deserving of substantial spreads.

AUBURN (-13.5) over Kentucky

This is the week where Kentucky implodes.  I just have a hunch.

ALABAMA (-17) over Spurrier

This is a lot of points against a South Carolina team that certainly isn't terrible.  Here is my logic: Bama covered a 16 point spread against Kentucky on the road.  South Carolina showed that they aren't much better than Kentucky.  Thus, Alabama should cover a 17 point spread against Spurrier at home.  Can't really toss a QED at the end of that last sentence, but this is gambling, right?

Good luck!