BlogPoll, Week 13: Big XII Chaos Ruins Everything

Your chart is rather large, after the jump, and you'll still have to open it in another window to view the whole thing. It's a resume comparison of the Top 4.

Yes, I did knock Texas Tech all the way down to No. 8 and out of the Big XII "which is better" argument, because neither of the other teams got demolished like that. And I did put Texas ahead of Oklahoma -- even though I was initially inclined to put Oklahoma ahead of the Longhorns. But I did it because of the whole record (as  you'll see below), not because of the head-to-head. As usual, Dr. Saturday best explains the fallacy of TEXAS HAS TO BE AHEAD OF OKLAHOMA HEAD TO HEAD NOTHING ELSE IS FAIR:

All three teams are 10-1. They're all 1-1 against one another. This is not about Texas > Oklahoma on Oct. 11 because there's another two and half months' worth of information, much of it -- like Texas Tech > Texas on Nov. 1, and Oklahoma > Texas Tech on Saturday -- directly contradictory to that single afternoon in the Cotton Bowl. This is not a plea for Oklahoma. But whichever of the three you advocate to represent the South in the Big 12 Championship, it has to be based on all the information.

In any case, the ballot:

Rank Team Delta
1 Florida --
2 Alabama 1
3 Texas 1
4 Oklahoma 1
5 Penn State 3
6 Southern Cal --
7 Utah --
8 Texas Tech 6
9 Ohio State 1
10 Boise State 1
11 Oklahoma State 2
12 Missouri --
13 Georgia --
14 Oregon State --
15 Florida State 11
16 Ball State 1
17 Cincinnati --
18 Georgia Tech 4
19 West Virginia --
20 Boston College 4
21 Iowa 5
22 Miami (Florida) 6
23 Michigan State 5
24 Northwestern 1
25 California 1

Dropped Out: Pittsburgh (#20), North Carolina (#21), Connecticut (#23).

Chartage, other explanatory information after the jump. As usual, tell me why I'm wrong -- for one thing, I'm not sure if Ole Miss goes in there somewhere.


First, to explain this chart: It's sort of a loose derivative of some charts Dr. Saturday did back when he was SMQ, but with a bit of my own spin. In short: All of the games played by Alabama, Florida, Oklahoma and Texas (alphabetical, you'll note), arranged into as good an order as one can do after looking at it for close to an hour. FCS teams are not included, as beating one them is not an accomplishment and any team that lost to one them would not be in the mix. Point margins are taken into account.

It's not perfect, I'll be the first to admit, which is why I didn't strictly follow it. I gave Alabama some extra credit for being undefeated; this hurts no one, as Alabama or Florida is going to fall out of the Top 2 depending on what happens in the Georgia Dome (or, perhaps, before that).

The margin between Oklahoma and Texas is rather slim, mostly because Oklahoma has by far the better out-of-conference schedule. (Arguments to the contrary, from an SEC-basing site that says Arkansas is an "SEC team" and as a result strengthens Texas' resume, are stretching more than a bit. Cincinnati and TCU are both more impressive than any of Texas' non-Big XII wins.) Texas' more difficult league schedule, though, made the difference.

Penn State moves up after clocking Michigan State and because of Texas Tech's fall. Oklahoma state moves down to No. 11 because the Texas Tech loss looks a bit worse. Florida State rockets back into the poll; I probably shouldn't have left them out last week, and so the win moves them up more than it should.

Georgia Tech and Boston College both move up four. Pay them no mind; they are ACC teams and will lose next week. Iowa continues to look impress, annihilating Minnesota two weeks after beating Penn State. (They had a bye week in between listed as "vs. Purdue.")

Miami (FL) and Michigan State get waxed and move way down, but not out. Northwestern and Cal re-appear -- why not? -- and some losers -- Pittsburgh, UNC (vs. N.C. State!) and Connecticut -- are out.

This week, I watched, in whole or (substantial) part: Ball State-Central Michigan, Miami-Georgia Tech, Tennessee-Vanderbilt, Mississippi-LSU, Oregon State-Arizona and Texas Tech-Oklahoma. I caught a few minutes here and there of some other games.

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